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. 2025 Mar;68(3):406-424.
doi: 10.1080/00140139.2024.2334428. Epub 2024 Mar 27.

How will technology change people's home care in the next 20 years? A strategic foresight study

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How will technology change people's home care in the next 20 years? A strategic foresight study

M Pistolesi et al. Ergonomics. 2025 Mar.

Abstract

The rapid expansion of home health care has raised many unresolved issues and will have far-reaching consequences that can only be overcome with a holistic approach to help build and use collective intelligence in a structured, systemic way to anticipate developments. In this frame, the set of issues covered by the human factors research field will significantly impact the safety, quality, and effectiveness of home health care. However, only with a gaze of strategic foresight will we be capable of exploring, anticipating, and shaping the future. A group of researchers from the Italian Society of Ergonomics and Human Factors (SIE) has developed a road map to help all the stakeholders involved in this process.

Keywords: Home care; ergonomics; human factors; human-centred design; strategic foresight.

Plain language summary

A Strategic Foresight study was conducted to define a preferred scenario of home care in the next 20 years. A hybrid survey method called Human-Centred Foresight was applied. The results achieved in the study show a possible scenario of home care that can define medium- and long-term goals from today until 2041.

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