The Role of Procalcitonin in Predicting Failure of Non-operative Management in Bowel Obstructions

Abstract

Procalcitonin has been investigated as a marker for bowel ischemia. This study examined the role of procalcitonin in predicting failure of non-operative management (NOM) in bowel obstructions. Patients with bowel obstructions at a single center from August 2022 to January 2023 were prospectively enrolled (n = 79). Lactic acid (LA) and procalcitonin were collected after surgical consultation. The primary outcome was success or failure of NOM. Univariate analysis, multivariable logistic regression, and performance measures of procalcitonin and LA in predicting bowel ischemia was performed. Of 79 patients included, 48 (61%) required operative intervention during index admission. There were no significant differences in demographics, comorbidities, procalcitonin, nor LA between groups. Time from last bowel movement was associated with failure of NOM (OR 1.03 [95% CI 1.01-1.06]; P = .008), though initial procalcitonin or LA was not. Procalcitonin >.3 ng/mL had acceptable sensitivity in screening for bowel ischemia.

Keywords: acute care surgery; gastrointestinal; general surgery; hernia.