Hormone and reproductive factors and risk of systemic lupus erythematosus: a Mendelian randomized study

Abstract

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune and inflammatory disease with a risk associated with hormonal and reproductive factors. However, the potential causal effects between these factors and SLE remain unclear. A two-sample Mendelian randomization study was conducted using the published summary data from the genome-wide association study database. Five independent genetic variants associated with hormonal and reproductive factors were selected as instrumental variables: age at menarche, age at natural menopause, estradiol, testosterone, and follistatin. To estimate the causal relationship between these exposure factors and disease outcome, we employed the inverse-variance weighted, weighted median, and MR-Egger methods. In addition, we carried out multiple sensitivity analyses to validate model assumptions. Inverse variance weighted showed that there was a causal association between circulating follistatin and SLE risk (OR = 1.38, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.86, P = 0.033). However, no evidence was found that correlation between AAM (OR = 1.04, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.40, P = 0.798), ANM (OR = 0.99, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.06, P = 0.721), E2 (OR = 1.40, 95% CI 0.14 to 13.56, P = 0.772), T (OR = 1.25, 95% CI 0.70 to 2.28, P = 0.459), and SLE risk. Our study revealed that elevated circulating follistatin associates with an increased risk of SLE. This finding suggests that the regulatory signals mediated by circulating follistatin may provide a potential mechanism relevant to the treatment of SLE.

Keywords: Age at menarche; Age at natural menopause; Estradiol; Follistatin; Systemic lupus erythematosus; Testosterone.