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. 2024 May;18(5):e13294.
doi: 10.1111/irv.13294.

Estimated Impact of Nirsevimab on the Incidence of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections Requiring Hospital Admission in Children < 1 Year, Weeks 40, 2023, to 8, 2024, Spain

Collaborators, Affiliations

Estimated Impact of Nirsevimab on the Incidence of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections Requiring Hospital Admission in Children < 1 Year, Weeks 40, 2023, to 8, 2024, Spain

Clara Mazagatos et al. Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2024 May.

Erratum in

Abstract

Background: Data from the sentinel surveillance system of severe acute respiratory infections in Spain were used to estimate the impact of administration of nirsevimab to children born from 1 April 2023 onwards.

Methods: Estimated RSV hospitalisations in < 1-year-olds during weeks 40, 2023, to 8, 2024, were compared to the number that would be expected after accounting for the background change in RSV circulation in the 2023/24 season, compared to 2022/23.

Results: We estimated 9364-9875 RSV hospitalisations less than expected, corresponding to a 74%-75% reduction.

Keywords: SARI; burden; impact; respiratory infections; respiratory syncitial virus; surveillance.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Figures

FIGURE 1
FIGURE 1
Weekly respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) proxy hospitalisation rates, by age group and respiratory season (from week 40, to week 39 of the next year), sentinel SARI surveillance system in Spain. The proxy is obtained by multiplying the Severe Acute Respiratory Infection (SARI) syndromic hospitalisation rates by the proportion of laboratory tests positive for RSV among those with SARI and systematically tested. Stratification for groups < 1 year or 1–4 years is only available for season 2022/23 onwards.
FIGURE 2
FIGURE 2
Estimated number of observed respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) hospitalisations in < 1‐year‐olds in Spain, weeks 40/2023–8/2024. Expected cases are obtained by applying to the observed cases from the equivalent weeks in 2022/23 a scaling factor (see Table 1) in 1‐ to 4‐year‐olds (2023/24 expected [Model A]) or 1‐ to 110‐year‐olds (2023/24 expected [Model B]). The RSV proxy hospitalisation rates each week are applied to the population size by age group and autonomous community; data are aggregated across autonomous communities for the number of weekly cases in Spain, referred to as observed.

References

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