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. 2024 May 10;8(6):e0431.
doi: 10.1097/HC9.0000000000000431. eCollection 2024 Jun 1.

A polygenic risk score for alcohol-associated cirrhosis among heavy drinkers with European ancestry

Affiliations

A polygenic risk score for alcohol-associated cirrhosis among heavy drinkers with European ancestry

Tae-Hwi Schwantes-An et al. Hepatol Commun. .

Abstract

Background: Polygenic Risk Scores (PRS) based on results from genome-wide association studies offer the prospect of risk stratification for many common and complex diseases. We developed a PRS for alcohol-associated cirrhosis by comparing single-nucleotide polymorphisms among patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis (ALC) versus drinkers who did not have evidence of liver fibrosis/cirrhosis.

Methods: Using a data-driven approach, a PRS for ALC was generated using a meta-genome-wide association study of ALC (N=4305) and an independent cohort of heavy drinkers with ALC and without significant liver disease (N=3037). It was validated in 2 additional independent cohorts from the UK Biobank with diagnosed ALC (N=467) and high-risk drinking controls (N=8981) and participants in the Indiana Biobank Liver cohort with alcohol-associated liver disease (N=121) and controls without liver disease (N=3239).

Results: A 20-single-nucleotide polymorphisms PRS for ALC (PRSALC) was generated that stratified risk for ALC comparing the top and bottom deciles of PRS in the 2 validation cohorts (ORs: 2.83 [95% CI: 1.82 -4.39] in UK Biobank; 4.40 [1.56 -12.44] in Indiana Biobank Liver cohort). Furthermore, PRSALC improved the prediction of ALC risk when added to the models of clinically known predictors of ALC risk. It also stratified the risk for metabolic dysfunction -associated steatotic liver disease -cirrhosis (3.94 [2.23 -6.95]) in the Indiana Biobank Liver cohort -based exploratory analysis.

Conclusions: PRSALC incorporates 20 single-nucleotide polymorphisms, predicts increased risk for ALC, and improves risk stratification for ALC compared with the models that only include clinical risk factors. This new score has the potential for early detection of heavy drinking patients who are at high risk for ALC.

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Conflict of interest statement

Naga P. Chalasani has a number of consulting agreements with and research grants from the pharmaceutical industry, but they are not significantly or directly related to this paper. Munir Pirmohamed receives research funding from various organizations, including the MRC and NIHR. He has also received partnership funding for the following: MRC Clinical Pharmacology Training Scheme (co-funded by MRC and Roche, UCB, Eli Lilly and Novartis); a PhD studentship jointly funded by EPSRC and Astra Zeneca; and grant funding from Vistagen Therapeutics. He has also unrestricted educational grant support for the UK Pharmacogenetics and Stratified Medicine Network from Bristol-Myers Squibb and UCB. He has developed an HLA genotyping panel with MC Diagnostics but does not benefit financially from this. He is part of the IMI Consortium ARDAT (www.ardat.org). None of these funding sources were deployed in the undertaking of this study. Timothy R. Morgan has conducted clinical research with AbbVie, Genfit, Gilead, and Merck but none of these are related to this manuscript. Tae-Hwi Schwantes-An is a paid consultant for Target RWE. Guruprasad P. Aithal consults and advises Clinipace, Servier, Pfizer, GSK, AstraZeneca, DNDi, BenevolentAI, Abbott Product Operations AG, Albireo, PureTech and Merck. RB is on the speakers’ bureau for AbbVie. Samer Gawrieh consults for TransMedics and Pfizer and received grants from Zydus, Viking, and SonicIncytes. Paul S. Haber received grants from Woke Pharmaceuticals. S Masson consults and is on the speakers’ bureau for Norgine and is on the speakers’ bureau for Dr. Falk and Sandoz. Christophe Moreno consults and received grants from AbbVie and Gilead. He consults for Surrozen, Intercept, Echosens, Novartis, Bayer, and Astellas. Beat Müllhaupt consults and received grants from Gilead and consults for Ipsen. Pierre Nahon consults and received grants from AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers Squibb, and Eisai. He consults for Ipsen and Roche. Eric Trépo received grants from Gilead and Julius Clinical.

Figures

FIGURE 1
FIGURE 1
Flowchart of cohorts. Flowchart depicting the overall study design and number of participants included in each component. Abbreviations: ALC, alcohol-associated liver cirrhosis; GWAS, Genome-wide Association Study; NIAAA, National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism; PRS, Polygenic Risk Score; R-sq, R-squared.
FIGURE 2
FIGURE 2
Plot of adjusted ORs across 3 cohorts Bar plot of covariates adjusted ORs between the bottom decile (0%–10% group) and each decile of PRSALC in the target and 2 validation cohorts. Abbreviations: ALC, alcohol-associated liver cirrhosis; IB-Liver: Indiana Biobank Liver.

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