Effect of COVID-19 pandemic on influenza; observation of a tertiary level virology laboratory

Abstract

The lockdown enforced amid the COVID-19 pandemic has affected the occurrence and trends of various respiratory virus infections, with a particular focus on influenza. Our study seeks to analyze the repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic on the positivity of the influenza virus throughout a 4-year span, encompassing both the pre-COVID-19 era (2018 and 2019) and the COVID-19 period (2020 and 2021). Data collected from patients clinically diagnosed with Influenza-like Illness and Severe Acute Respiratory Illness (SARI) from January 2018 to December 2021 for influenza virus detection were acquired and analyzed through multiplex RT-qPCR. The statistical analysis was conducted using SPSS (Statistical Package for Social Sciences) Version 21.0 Software. A total of 4464 samples were tested over 4 years (2018-2021), with 3201 samples from the pre-COVID era and 1263 samples from the COVID era. Influenza A positivity dropped from 17.7 to 9.57% and Influenza B positivity decreased from 3.74 to 2.61%. Subtyping revealed changes in prevalence for both viruses. Seasonal variations showed more pronounced peaks in the pre-COVID-19 era with reduced activity during lockdown. Influenza A saw a resurgence in August 2021. Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic (2020-2021) SARI cases did not decrease. The positivity rate for Influenza A slightly rose to 7.79% from 4.23% in the COVID period (2020-2021). This increase correlates with heightened hospitalization rates during the pandemic, sparking concerns of potential coinfection with coronavirus and Influenza A. The notable drop in influenza cases in 2020-2021 is likely due to stringent precautions, lockdowns, drug repurposing, and prioritized testing, indicating no reduction in influenza transmission. Increased influenza positivity in SARI patients during COVID-19 highlights a heightened risk of coinfection. Emphasizing solely on COVID-19 may lead to underreporting of other respiratory pathogens, including influenza viruses.

Keywords: COVID-19; Influenza A virus; Influenza B virus; Influenza-like illness; Pandemic; SARI.

Fig. 1

Showing the seasonal trend of Influenza A from 2018–2021

Fig. 2

Showing the seasonal trend of Influenza B from 2018–2021