Comparison for the diagnostic performance of early diagnostic methods for biliary atresia: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

Abstract

Background: Biliary atresia (BA), a progressive condition affecting canalicular-bile duct function/anatomy, requires prompt surgical intervention for favorable outcomes. Therefore, we conducted a network meta-analysis of common diagnostic methods to assess their performance and provide evidence-based support for clinical decision-making.

Methods: We reviewed literature in PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane for BA diagnostics. The search included gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), direct/combined bilirubin, matrix metalloproteinase 7 (MMP-7), ultrasonic triangular cord sign (TCS), hepatic scintigraphy (HS), and percutaneous cholangiocholangiography/percutaneous transhepatic cholecysto-cholangiography (PCC/PTCC). QUADAS-2 assessed study quality. Heterogeneity and threshold effect were evaluated using I2 and Spearman's correlation. We combined effect estimates, constructed SROC models, and conducted a network meta-analysis based on the ANOVA model, along with meta-regression and subgroup analysis, to obtain precise diagnostic performance assessments for BA.

Results: A total of 40 studies were included in our analysis. GGT demonstrated high diagnostic accuracy for BA with a sensitivity of 81.5% (95% CI 0.792-0.836) and specificity of 72.1% (95% CI 0.693-0.748). Direct bilirubin/conjugated bilirubin showed a sensitivity of 87.6% (95% CI 0.833-0.911) but lower specificity of 59.4% (95% CI 0.549-0.638). MMP-7 exhibited a total sensitivity of 91.5% (95% CI 0.893-0.934) and a specificity of 84.3% (95% CI 0.820-0.863). TCS exhibited a sensitivity of 58.1% (95% CI 0.549-0.613) and high specificity of 92.9% (95% CI 0.911-0.944). HS had a high sensitivity of 98.4% (95% CI 0.968-0.994) and moderate specificity of 79.0% (95% CI 0.762-0.816). PCC/PTCC exhibited excellent diagnostic performance with a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI 0.900-1.000) and specificity of 87.0% (95% CI 0.767-0.939). Based on the ANOVA model, the network meta-analysis revealed that MMP-7 ranked second overall, with PCC/PTCC ranking first, both exhibiting superior diagnostic accuracy compared to other techniques. Our analysis showed no significant bias in most methodologies, but MMP-7 and hepatobiliary scintigraphy exhibited biases, with p values of 0.023 and 0.002, respectively.

Conclusion: MMP-7 and ultrasound-guided PCC/PTCC show diagnostic potential in the early diagnosis of BA, but their clinical application is restricted due to practical limitations. Currently, the cutoff value of MMP-7 is unclear, and further evidence-based medical research is needed to firmly establish its diagnostic value. Until more evidence is available, MMP-7 is not suitable for widespread diagnostic use. Therefore, considering cost and operational simplicity, liver function tests combined with ultrasound remain the most clinically valuable non-invasive diagnostic methods for BA.

Keywords: Biliary atresia; Diagnosis; Diagnostic Imaging; Liver function tests; Matrix metalloproteinase 7; Network meta-analysis.