Radiomic Prediction of CCND1 Expression Levels and Prognosis in Low-grade Glioma Based on Magnetic Resonance Imaging

Abstract

Ojectives: Low-grade glioma (LGG) is associated with increased mortality owing to recrudescence and the tendency for malignant transformation. Therefore, it is imperative to discover novel prognostic biomarkers as existing traditional prognostic biomarkers of glioma, including clinicopathological features and imaging examinations, are unable to meet the clinical demand for precision medicine. Accordingly, we aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of cyclin D1 (CCND1) expression levels and construct radiomic models to predict these levels in patients with LGG MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 412 LGG cases from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) were used for gene-based prognostic analysis. Using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) images stored in The Cancer Imaging Archive with genomic data from TCGA, 149 cases were selected for radiomics feature extraction and model construction. After feature extraction, the radiomic signature was constructed using logistic regression (LR) and support vector machine (SVM) analyses.

Results: CCND1 was identified as a prognosis-related gene with differential expression in tumor and normal samples and plays a role in regulating both the cell cycle and immune response. Landmark analysis revealed that high-expression levels of CCND1 were beneficial for survival (P < 0.05) in advanced LGG. Four optimal radiomics features were selected to construct radiomics models. The performance of LR and SVM achieved areas under the curve of 0.703 and 0.705, as well as 0.724 and 0.726 in the training and validation sets, respectively.

Conclusion: Elevated levels of CCND1 expression could impact the prognosis of patients with LGG. MRI-based radiomics, especially the AUC values, can serve as a novel tool for predicting CCND1 expression and understanding the correlation between elevated CCND1 expression and prognosis.

Availability of data and materials: The datasets analyzed during the current study are available in the TCGA, TCIA, UCSC XENA and GTEx repository, https://portal.gdc.cancer.gov/, https://www.cancerimagingarchive.net/, https://xenabrowser.net/datapages/, https://www.gtexportal.org/home/.

Keywords: CCND1/cyclin D1; Low-grade glioma; Machine learning; Magnetic resonance imaging; Prognosis; Radiomics; Survival.