Association of inflammatory trajectory with subarachnoid hemorrhage mortality

Abstract

Objective: White blood cells (WBC) play an important role in the inflammatory response of the body. Elevated WBC counts on admission in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) correlate with a poor prognosis. However, the role of longitudinal WBC trajectories based on repeated WBC measurements during hospitalization remains unclear. We explored the association between different WBC trajectory patterns and in-hospital mortality.

Methods: We analyzed a cohort of consecutive patients with SAH between 2012 and 2020. Group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM) was used to group the patients according to their white blood cell patterns over the first 4 days. Stabilized inverse probability treatment weighting (sIPTW) was used to balance baseline demographic and clinical characteristics. We analyzed the association between the WBC trajectory groups and in-hospital mortality using a Cox proportional hazards model.

Results: In total, 506 patients with SAH were included in this retrospective cohort. The final model identified two distinct longitudinal WBC trajectories. After adjusting for confounding factors, multivariate regression analysis suggested that an elevated longitudinal WBC trajectory increased the risk of in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 2.476; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.081-5.227; P = 0.024) before sIPTW, and (HR, 2.472; 95%CI 1.489-4.977; P = 0.018) after sIPTW.

Conclusion: In patients with SAH, different clinically relevant groups could be identified using WBC trajectory analysis. The WBC count trajectory-initially elevated and then decreased- may lead to an increased risk of in-hospital mortality following SAH.

Keywords: Mortality; Stabilized inverse probability treatment weighting; Subarachnoid hemorrhage; Trajectory analysis; White blood cell count.