Meningioma recurrence: Time for an online prediction tool?

Abstract

Background: Meningioma, the most common brain tumor, traditionally considered benign, has a relatively high risk of recurrence over a patient's lifespan. In addition, with the emergence of several clinical, radiological, and molecular variables, it is becoming evident that existing grading criteria, including Simpson's and World Health Organization classification, may not be sufficient or accurate. As web-based tools for widespread accessibility and usage become commonplace, such as those for gene identification or other cancers, it is timely for meningioma care to take advantage of evolving new markers to help advance patient care.

Methods: A scoping review of the meningioma literature was undertaken using the MEDLINE and Embase databases. We reviewed original studies and review articles from September 2022 to December 2023 that provided the most updated information on the demographic, clinical, radiographic, histopathological, molecular genetics, and management of meningiomas in the adult population.

Results: Our scoping review reveals a large body of meningioma literature that has evaluated the determinants for recurrence and aggressive tumor biology, including older age, female sex, genetic abnormalities such as telomerase reverse transcriptase promoter mutation, CDKN2A deletion, subtotal resection, and higher grade. Despite a large body of evidence on meningiomas, however, we noted a lack of tools to aid the clinician in decision-making. We identified the need for an online, self-updating, and machine-learning-based dynamic model that can incorporate demographic, clinical, radiographic, histopathological, and genetic variables to predict the recurrence risk of meningiomas.

Conclusion: Although a challenging endeavor, a recurrence prediction tool for meningioma would provide critical information for the meningioma patient and the clinician making decisions on long-term surveillance and management of meningiomas.

Keywords: Machine learning; Meningioma; Recurrence; Recurrence risk tool; Risk prediction tool.

Figure 1:

A graphical render of the proposed recurrence risk prediction tool for meningioma with behind the-scenes machine learning and in perpetuity refinement framework. NF: neurofibromatosis, GTR: gross-total resection, STR: sub-total resection