Consecutive positive nucleic acid tests in COVID-19 patients: a retrospective cohort study in Fangcang hospitals, Shanghai

Abstract

Introduction: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) spread rapidly in Shanghai in February 2022. Patients with asymptomatic and mild symptoms were admitted to Fangcang shelter hospitals for centralized quarantine.

Methodology: A total of 5,217 non-severe patients hospitalized in the Longyao Fangcang and Shilong Fangcang hospitals were included in the study. Demographic and clinical characteristics, comorbidity, exposure history, treatment and disease duration were analyzed. Univariate analysis and binomial logistic regression analysis were performed to identify the factors influencing nucleic acid change from positive to negative over 14 days.

Results: Consecutive positive nucleic acid test results (days) were significantly associated with advanced age (OR = 1.343, 95% CI 1.143 to 1.578, p < 0.001), smoking (OR = 0.510, 95% CI 0.327 to 0.796, p = 0.003) and vaccination (OR = 0.728, 95% CI 0.641 to 0.827, p < 0.001). However, there was no significant difference between asymptomatic and mild symptomatic patients (p = 0.187). In univariate analysis, comorbidities including diabetes, hypertension, cardiovascular system, malignant tumors, autoimmune diseases and cerebral apoplexy were associated with consecutive positive nucleic acid test results, but there was no significant difference in binomial logistics regression analysis.

Conclusions: Aging and comorbid conditions lead to the prolongation of positive nucleic acid test results for several days. Improving vaccination coverage is beneficial for prevention and control of the epidemic. The management and treatment methods of Shanghai Fangcang shelter hospitals had important referential significance, which can provide valuable guidance for the prevention and control of the COVID-19 epidemic in the future.

Keywords: COVID-19; Fangcang; factors; nucleic acid test; vaccination.