Long-term risk factors of recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction and death in patients leaving hospital with a diagnosis of ischemic stroke or TIA

Abstract

Objectives. The prevalence of patients with prior stroke is increasing globally. Accordingly, there is a need for up-to-date evidence of patient-related prognostic factors for stroke recurrence, post stroke myocardial infarction (MI) and death based on long-term follow-up of stroke survivors. For this purpose, the RIALTO study was established in 2004. Design. A prospective cohort study in which patients diagnosed with ischemic stroke (IS) or transient ischemic attack (TIA) in three Copenhagen hospitals were included. Data were collected from medical records and by structured interview. Data on first stroke recurrence, first MI and all-cause death were extracted from the Danish National Patient Registry and the Danish Civil Registration System. Results. We included 1215 patients discharged after IS or TIA who were followed up by register data from April 2004 to end of 2018 giving a median follow-up of 3.5-6.9 years depending on the outcome. At the end of follow-up 406 (33%) patients had been admitted with a recurrent stroke, 100 (8%) had a MI and 822 (68%) had died. Long-term prognostic predictors included body mass index, diabetes, antihypertensive and lipid lowering treatment, smoking, a sedentary lifestyle as well as poor self-rated health and psychosocial problems. Conclusions. Long-term risk of recurrent stroke and MI remain high in patients discharged with IS or TIA despite substantial improvements in tertiary preventive care in recent decades. Continued attention to the patient risk profile among patients surviving the early phase of stroke, including comorbidities, lifestyle, and psychosocial challenges, is warranted.

Keywords: Cohort study; diabetes; hypertension; long-term follow-up; myocardial infarction; post-stroke death; psychosocial predictors; sedentarity; smoking.