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Randomized Controlled Trial
. 2024;11(4):823-830.
doi: 10.14283/jpad.2024.134.

Longitudinal Phospho-tau217 Predicts Amyloid Positron Emission Tomography in Asymptomatic Alzheimer's Disease

Affiliations
Randomized Controlled Trial

Longitudinal Phospho-tau217 Predicts Amyloid Positron Emission Tomography in Asymptomatic Alzheimer's Disease

R A Rissman et al. J Prev Alzheimers Dis. 2024.

Abstract

Background: Blood-based AD biomarkers such as plasma P-tau217 are increasingly used in clinical trials as a screening tool.

Objectives: To assess the utility of an electrochemiluminescence (ECL) immunoassay in predicting brain amyloid PET status in cognitively unimpaired individuals.

Setting: Plasma samples collected at baseline, week 12, and week 240 or endpoint originated from the Anti-Amyloid Treatment in Asymptomatic Alzheimer's Disease (A4) trial and the companion Longitudinal Evaluation of Amyloid Risk and Neurodegeneration (LEARN) study.

Participants: Both A4 and LEARN enrolled eligible cognitively unimpaired persons 65 to 85 years. Individuals with elevated brain amyloid PET levels were eligible for the A4 Study, while those without elevated brain amyloid PET levels were eligible for the LEARN Study.

Intervention: Participants in the A4 Study received intravenous solanezumab (up to 1600 mg) or placebo every 4 weeks. The LEARN Study is an observational study without intervention.

Measurements: Plasma P-tau217 concentration levels from A4 Study participants were measured using an ECL immunoassay. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed for each biomarker against amyloid positivity, defined by ≥22 CL and ≥ 33 CL.

Results: Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis indicates high diagnostic value of P-tau217 in individuals with amyloid PET ≥ 20 (Area under the ROC (AUROC): 0.87) and ≥ 33 CL (AUROC: 0.89). Repeated testing with the placebo group taken 12 weeks apart (range: 68 to 143 days) and the LEARN participants taken between 1.4 and 1.75 years resulted in a strong positive correlation (Corr. 0.91 (0.90 to 0.92)).

Conclusion: An ECL immunoassay testing plasma P-tau217 accurately predicts amyloid PET positivity in cognitively unimpaired individuals. Our future analyses aim to determine if use of this assay may reduce the screening burden of preclinical individuals into anti-amyloid clinical trials.

Keywords: Alzheimer’s disease; PET; immunoassay; longitudinal amyloid; p-tau.

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Conflict of interest statement

RAR: has research support from the National Institute on Aging, the Alzheimer’s Association and is a consultant for Amydis Inc, Bioivt, Lexeo, Keystone Bio, Allyx, DiamiR, Ionis and PrecisionMed. MD: Nothing to report. OL: Nothing to report. SAL: Nothing to report. RR has received research support from the National Institutes of Health (NIH), the Alzheimer’s Association, American Heart Association, Eli Lilly and Eisai. GJM has received research support from the National Institutes of Health (NIH), the Alzheimer’s Association, American Heart Association, Gates Ventures, Eli Lilly, and Eisai. KAJ has received research funding from National Institutes on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Alzheimer’s Association, and the GHR Foundation. He has served as a consultant for Merkc, Novartis, Janssen, and Prothena. DMR received salary and research support from the National Institutes of Health and has received payment or honoraria from USC Institute on Methods and Protocols for Advancement of Clinical Trials in ADRD (IMPACT AD) course and External Advisory Boards from the University of California-Davis, Washington University, Boston University and Northwestern. She has also received travel support to ACTC meetings, to the University of California Advisory Board Meeting and the Washington University Advisory Board Meeting. RY is an employee and minor shareholder of Eli Lilly and Company. KCH is an employee and minor shareholder of Eli Lilly and Company. JRS is an employee and minor shareholder of Eli Lilly and Company. PSA has received grants or contracts from the National Institutes of Health (NIH), Alzheimer’s Association, Foundation for NIH (FNIH), Lilly, Janssen and Eisai and consulting fees from Merck, Biogen, AbbVie, Roche, and Immunobrain Checkpoint. RAS reports grant support from the National Institutes on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Alzheimer’s Association, GHR Foundation, and Gates Ventures. She has received trial research funding from Eisai and Eli Lilly for public-private partnership trials. She reported serving as a consultant for AbbVie, AC Immune, Alector, Biohaven, Bristol-Myers-Squibb, Ionis, Janssen, Genentech, Merck, Prothena, Roche, and Vaxxinity.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Baseline P-tau217 associations and short-term repeatability Plasma P-tau217 is correlated with amyloid PET centiloids (CL) Panel A) and CSF Aβ 42/40 ratios (Panel B). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the area under the ROC curve (AUROC) demonstrate the value of P-tau217 for predicting individuals with amyloid PET greater than 20 or 33 CL (Panel C). Panel D shows short-term repeatability among Placebo group individuals taken 68 to 143 days apart and among LEARN individuals taken between 1.4 and 1.75 years apart. Plasma P-tau217 is plotted with the axis log transformed. Correlations are Spearman's rank correlations. Values in parentheses are 95% confidence intervals.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Modeled mean P-tau217 and amyloid PET Natural cubic spline modeling was used to estimate means, 95% confidence intervals and p-values of P-Tau217 (top) and amyloid PET (bottom). Models assume a natural cubic spline for time with two degrees of freedom per group and control for age and APOEε4 carriage; and assume heterogeneous unstructured variance-covariance. Shaded regions are 95% confidence intervals. The p-value is associated with the treatment group difference at 240 weeks, which is indicated by the vertical dotted line. Please note the sparse data in A4 (and no data in LEARN) between baseline (week 0) and week 240, with interpolated estimates in modelled curves.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Change in plasma P-tau217 per year P-tau217 is weakly correlated with amyloid PET centiloid (CL) change per year (Panel A), and moderately correlated with and CSF Aβ 42/40 change (Panel B). Correlation between amyloid PET and CSF Aβ 42/40 change is also minimally correlated (Panel C). Estimates of change per year are derived from linear models with fixed effects for time (spline with two degrees of freedom), treatment, time-by-treatment, age, and APOEe4 status; and participant-specific random intercepts and slopes. Correlations are Spearman's rank correlations of the participant-specific estimates of annualized change at 240 weeks. Values in parentheses 95% confidence intervals. Trend lines are from ordinary least square regression and shaded regions are 95% confidence intervals.

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