Development of a Clinical Risk Score to Risk Stratify for a Serious Cause of Vertigo in Patients Presenting to the Emergency Department

Abstract

Study objective: Identify high-risk clinical characteristics for a serious cause of vertigo in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED).

Methods: Multicentre prospective cohort study over 3 years at three university-affiliated tertiary care EDs. Participants were patients presenting with vertigo, dizziness or imbalance. Main outcome measurement was an adjudicated serious diagnosis defined as stroke, transient ischemic attack, vertebral artery dissection or brain tumour.

Results: A total of 2,078 of 2,618 potentially eligible patients (79.4%) were enrolled (mean age 77.1 years; 59% women). Serious events occurred in 111 (5.3%) patients. We used logistic regression to create a 7-item prediction model: male, age over 65, hypertension, diabetes, motor/sensory deficits, cerebellar signs/symptoms and benign paroxysmal positional vertigo diagnosis (C-statistic 0.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92 to 0.98). The risk of a serious diagnosis ranged from 0% for a score of <5, 2.1% for a score of 5 to 8, and 41% for a score >8. Sensitivity for a serious diagnosis was 100% (95% CI, 97.1% to 100%) and specificity 72.1% (95% CI, 70.1% to 74%) for a score <5.

Conclusion: The Sudbury Vertigo Risk Score identifies the risk of a serious diagnosis as a cause of a patient's vertigo and if validated could assist physicians in guiding further investigation, consultation, and treatment decisions, improving resource utilization and reducing missed diagnoses.