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Meta-Analysis
. 2024 Sep 10;103(5):e209715.
doi: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000209715. Epub 2024 Aug 14.

Blood Pressure, Antihypertensive Use, and Late-Life Alzheimer and Non-Alzheimer Dementia Risk: An Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis

Affiliations
Meta-Analysis

Blood Pressure, Antihypertensive Use, and Late-Life Alzheimer and Non-Alzheimer Dementia Risk: An Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis

Matthew J Lennon et al. Neurology. .

Abstract

Background and objectives: Previous randomized controlled trials and longitudinal studies have indicated that ongoing antihypertensive use in late life reduces all-cause dementia risk, but the specific impact on Alzheimer dementia (AD) and non-AD risk remains unclear. This study investigates whether previous hypertension or antihypertensive use modifies AD or non-AD risk in late life and the ideal blood pressure (BP) for risk reduction in a diverse consortium of cohort studies.

Methods: This individual participant data meta-analysis included community-based longitudinal studies of aging from a preexisting consortium. The main outcomes were risk of developing AD and non-AD. The main exposures were hypertension history/antihypertensive use and baseline systolic BP/diastolic BP. Mixed-effects Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess risk and natural splines were applied to model the relationship between BP and the dementia outcomes. The main model controlled for age, age2, sex, education, ethnoracial group, and study cohort. Supplementary analyses included a fully adjusted model, an analysis restricting to those with >5 years of follow-up and models that examined the moderating effect of age, sex, and ethnoracial group.

Results: There were 31,250 participants from 14 nations in the analysis (41% male) with a mean baseline age of 72 (SD 7.5, range 60-110) years. Participants with untreated hypertension had a 36% (hazard ratio [HR] 1.36, 95% CI 1.01-1.83, p = 0.0406) and 42% (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.08-1.87, p = 0.0135) increased risk of AD compared with "healthy controls" and those with treated hypertension, respectively. Compared with "healthy controls" both those with treated (HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.03-1.60, p = 0.0267) and untreated hypertension (HR 1.69, 95% CI 1.19-2.40, p = 0.0032) had greater non-AD risk, but there was no difference between the treated and untreated groups. Baseline diastolic BP had a significant U-shaped relationship (p = 0.0227) with non-AD risk in an analysis restricted to those with 5-year follow-up, but otherwise there was no significant relationship between baseline BP and either AD or non-AD risk.

Discussion: Antihypertensive use was associated with decreased AD but not non-AD risk throughout late life. This suggests that treating hypertension throughout late life continues to be crucial in AD risk mitigation. A single measure of BP was not associated with AD risk, but DBP may have a U-shaped relationship with non-AD risk over longer periods in late life.

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Conflict of interest statement

A.E. Schutte is funded by an Investigator Grant of the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia (GNT2017504), and received speaker honoraria from Servier, Novartis, Abbott, Medtronic, Omron, and Aktiia. J. Najar was funded by Alzheimersfonden (AF-967865), the ALF-agreement (72660), and Stiftelsens Hjalmar Svenssons forskningsfond (HJSV2022059, HJSV2023023). A. Lobo had a consultancy with Janssen and received financial support to attend scientific meetings from Eli Lilly, Bial, and Janssen. C. De-la-Cámara received financial support to attend scientific meetings from Janssen, Almirall, Lilly, Lundbeck, Rovi, Esteve, Novartis, AstraZeneca, Pfizer, and Casen Recordati. E. Lobo has received an honorarium from the University of Granada. K.J. Anstey is supported by ARC Laureate Fellowship FL190100011, and received a speaker honoraria from Roche. The other authors report no relevant disclosures. Go to Neurology.org/N for full disclosures.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1. Association of HTN/AHT Status With AD and Non-AD Risk
The association of HTN/AHT status with the risk of AD and non-AD dementia (x-axis in log2 scale). The main analysis (partially adjusted) included covariates of age, age2, sex, education, ethnoracial group, and a random effect for study. The fully adjusted analysis included additional covariates of BMI, smoking status, history of hypercholesterolemia, and diabetes mellitus. Each of the other analyses applied the partially adjusted model. The p-values show the size of the interaction effect for age, sex, and ethnoracial group with treated hypertension (compared with “healthy controls”) and untreated hypertension (compared with “healthy controls”). Age was treated as a continuous variable, sex as a categorical variable, and ethnoracial group as a categorical variable with 3 major groups (White, Asian, and Black). The numbers and brackets on the right are the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals. The p-values show the significance of the interaction term. The interaction p-values used White participants as the main comparison group in the ethnoracial analysis (as this was the largest group included). AD = Alzheimer dementia; BMI = body mass index; HTN/AHT = hypertension history-antihypertensive use.
Figure 2
Figure 2. Association Between Continuous SBP/DBP and Both AD and Non-AD Risk Using Nonlinear Natural Splines
The relationship between SBP, DBP, and AD/non-AD risk with 95% CIs (shaded areas). In all models, SBP and DBP was grand-mean centered (at 140 mm Hg and 80 mm Hg, respectively) and all HRs represent within-group risk relative to this grand-mean. A restricted cubic splines model was applied. (A and B) The main analysis (partially adjusted) which included the covariates of age, age2, sex, education, ethnoracial group and a random effect for study. (C and D) The fully adjusted analysis which included additional covariates of BMI, smoking status, history of hypercholesterolemia, and diabetes mellitus. AD = Alzheimer dementia; BMI = body mass index; DBP = diastolic blood pressure; HR = hazard ratio; SBP = systolic blood pressure.
Figure 3
Figure 3. Association Between Continuous SBP/DBP and Both AD and Non-AD Risk Restricted to Participants With Over 5-Year Follow-Up
The relationship between SBP, DBP, and AD/non-AD risk with 95% CIs (shaded areas) in participants with over 5 years of follow-up. In all models SBP and DBP was grand-mean centered (at 140 mm Hg and 80 mm Hg, respectively), and all HRs represent within-group risk relative to this grand-mean. A restricted cubic splines model was applied. (A and B) SBP and DBP, respectively, are shown. AD = Alzheimer dementia; BMI = body mass index; DBP = diastolic blood pressure; HR = hazard ratio; SBP = systolic blood pressure.
Figure 4
Figure 4. Moderating Effect of Age on the Association Between Continuous SBP/DBP and Both AD and Non-AD Risk
The relationship between SBP, DBP, and AD/non-AD risk with 95% CIs (shaded areas) showing the changing relationship with increasing age. In all models SBP and DBP was grand-mean centered (at 140 mm Hg and 80 mm Hg, respectively), and all HRs represent within-group risk relative to this grand-mean. These models were partially adjusted and included covariates of age, age2, sex, education, ethnoracial group, and a random effect for study. A restricted cubic splines model was applied. (A) The significant moderating effect of age on the relationship between baseline SBP and non-AD risk. (B) The significant moderating effect of age on the relationship between baseline DBP and AD risk. AD = Alzheimer dementia; BMI = body mass index; DBP = diastolic blood pressure; HR = hazard ratio; SBP = systolic blood pressure.

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