Mortality during the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic: A Comparative Analysis between Lombardy in Italy and Israel

Abstract

Background: This retrospective study contrasts the impact of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Lombardy (Italy) and Israel, focusing on mortality, healthcare response, public health measures, and demographics. Methods: We analyzed SARS-CoV-2 data from Lombardy and Israel covering four viral waves. Data included infection rates, hospitalizations, and mortality. In Lombardy, healthcare data were collected from the administrative database of the Lombardy Welfare Directorate; in Israel, they were collected from Clalit Health Services and the Israeli Ministry of Health's COVID-19 database. Statistical analyses compared trends in infection rates, demographics, and mortality rates across the four viral waves by using logistic and linear regression models and adjusting for age, sex, and comorbidities. Results: Lombardy exhibited significantly higher SARS-CoV-2 infections and COVID-19 hospitalization rates during the first wave than Israel, with 71,558 cases over a population sample of ~10 million versus 5741 over a population sample of ~4.7 million in Israel. The majority of cases in Israel were managed at home, with 18 cases only (0.3%) requiring intensive care unit (ICU) hospitalization during the first wave, compared to 4104 (5.7%) cases in Lombardy. Israel's vaccination campaign began earlier, so that by the fourth wave, 439,545 (42.2%) people in Israel were fully vaccinated with three doses, compared to 214,542 (22.9%) in Lombardy. Mortality decreased over time in both sites, dropping from 103 cases (1.8%) to 1550 (0.1%) in Israel and from 13,372 (18.7%) to 4388 (0.3%) in Lombardy. Conclusions: Early public health interventions and vaccination were crucial in managing the SARS-CoV-2 impact.

Keywords: Israel; Lombardy; SARS-CoV-2; mortality; vaccine.