Characteristics and predictors of Long Covid in children: a 3-year prospective cohort study

Abstract

Background: Children can develop Long Covid, however long term outcomes and their predictors are poorly described in these patients. The primary aim is to describe characteristics and predictors of Long Covid in children assessed in-clinics up to 36 months post-SARS-CoV-2 infection, as well as investigate the role of vaccines in preventing Long Covid, risk of reinfections and development of autoimmune diseases.

Methods: Children aged 0-18 years old with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection were invited for a prospective follow-up assessment at a peadiatric post-covid clinic in Rome, Italy, at serial intervals (3-, 6-, 12-, 18-, 24- and 36-months post-infection onset, between 01/02/2020 and 28/02/2024). Long Covid was defined as persistence of otherwise unexplained symptoms for at least three months after initial infection.

Findings: 1319 patients were initially included, 1296 reached the 3 months follow-up or more. Of the patients who underwent multiple follow-ups, 23.2% (301), 169 (13.2%), 89 (7.9%), 67 (6.1%), 47 (7.1%) were diagnosed with Long Covid at 3-6-12-18-24 months, respectively For the primary outcome of Long Covid at three months, age >12 years (P < 0.001, OR 11.33, 95% CI 4.2; 15.15), comorbidities (P = 0.008, OR 1.83, 95% CI 1.06; 2.44), being infected with original variants (P < 0.001, OR 4.77, 95% CI 2.46; 14.47), female sex (P < 0.001, OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.02; 1.89) were statistically significant risk factors. Age >12 years (P = 0.002, OR 9.37, 95% CI 1.58; 8.64), and infection with original (P = 0.012, OR 3.52, 95% CI 1.32; 8.64) and alfa (P < 0.001, OR 4.09, 95% CI 2.01; 8.3) SARS-CoV-2 variants remained statistically significant risk factors for Long Covid duration for at least 18 months. Vaccination was associated with a lower risk of long covid at 3, 6 and 12 months for older children and a lower risk of reinfections. Being infected with the original SARS-CoV-2 variant was associated with a higher risk of new-onset autoimmune diseases ((P = 0.035, 95% CI 1.12; 2.4). One patient was diagnosed with Long Covid after a re-infection.

Interpretation: This is the longest follow-up study of children with SARS-CoV-2 infection, showing a significant and long-lasting burden of Long Covid in the pediatric population. Our findings highlight the urgent need of investing in pediatric Long Covid in order to find effective diagnostic and therapeutic approaches, as well can inform preventive strategies in case of future pandemics.

Funding: This study has been funde by Pfizer non-competitive grant, granted to DB (#65925795).

Keywords: COVID-19 vaccination; Children; Long covid; Post-covid condition; Risk factors; SARS-CoV-2 infection; SARS-CoV-2 variants.

Fig. 1

Patients flow diagram and number of children with persisting symptoms (LONG COVID) development at each follow-up evaluation.

Fig. 2

Interactive effect of number of vaccine doses and age on the outcome Long Covid at different time points.

Fig. 3

Interactive effect of number of vaccine doses and age on the outcome Long Covid at different time points. Asterisks show significance. Relative significance and CI are reported in Supplementary Material.