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. 2025 Mar;35(1):141-150.
doi: 10.1007/s00062-024-01459-3. Epub 2024 Oct 15.

Factors Influencing the Association of 24-hour National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale & 90-day Modified Rankin Score

Affiliations

Factors Influencing the Association of 24-hour National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale & 90-day Modified Rankin Score

Alexander Stebner et al. Clin Neuroradiol. 2025 Mar.

Abstract

Purpose: The modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 90 days is the primary outcome in most acute stroke studies, but the long follow-up period has disadvantages. The National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) at 24 h shows a strong, but imperfect, association with 90-day mRS. This study examines the association between 24-hour NIHSS and 90-day mRS and reasons for discrepancies.

Methods: Data are from the ESCAPE-NA1 thrombectomy patients. To address the non-normality distribution of the NIHSS and include deceased patients, a 7-point ordinal score was generated by grouping 24-hour NIHSS. The association of ordinal 24-hour NIHSS and 90-day mRS was assessed with adjusted ordinal logistic regression. Differences in baseline and treatment/post-treatment variables were compared between patients with discordant and concordant outcomes.

Results: One-thousand-seventy-six patients with available 24-hour NIHSS and 90-day mRS were included (median 24-hour NIHSS 6[IQR: 2-14], median 90-day mRS 2[IQR: 1-4]). Ordinal 24-hour NIHSS was associated with 90-day mRS (adjusted cOR 2.53 [95%CI 2.33-2.74]). Forty-eight (4.5%) patients had discordant outcomes. Of those, 19(1.8%) had 24-hour NIHSS < 6 and 90-day mRS5-6; all of which had ≥ 1 severe adverse event, most commonly pneumonia (6[31.6%]) or recurrent stroke (4[21.1%]). Twenty-nine patients (2.7%) had 24-hour NIHSS > 14 and 90-day mRS 0-2. In these patients, baseline NIHSS and ASPECTS was lower, and collateral status was worse.

Conclusion: An ordinal NIHSS score that includes death at 24 h shows a strong association with 90-day mRS, suggesting that it could be used as an alternative outcome. Patients with discrepant outcomes differed from the remaining patients regarding their baseline NIHSS, ASPECTS, collateral status, and post-stroke complications.

Keywords: Acute ischemic stroke; Cerebrovascular disease; Clinical outcomes; Modified Rankin Scale; National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale.

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Conflict of interest statement

Conflict of interest: A. Stebner, S.L. Bosshart, A. Demchuk, A. Poppe, R. Nogueira, R. McTaggart, B. Buck, A. Ganesh, M. Hill, M. Goyal and J. Ospel declare that they have no competing interests. A. Stebner: received a stipend for his Research Fellowship in Calgary from the Swiss Society of Radiology. M. D. Hill: reports grants from Canadian Institutes for Health Research, Alberta Innovates, and NoNO, for the conduct of the study; reports personal fees from Merck; reports non-financial support from Hoffmann-La Roche Canada; reports grants from Covidien (Medtronic), Boehringer-Ingleheim, Stryker, and Medtronic, outside the submitted work; reports a patent for systems and methods for assisting in decision-making and triaging for acute stroke patients, issued to US Patent office Number 62/086,077; owns stock in Calgary Scientific; is a director of the Canadian Federation of Neurological Sciences and Circle NeuroVascular; and has received grant support from Alberta Innovates Health Solutions, CIHR, Heart & Stroke Foundation of Canada, and the National Institutes of Neurological Disorders and Stroke. M. Goyal: holds grants from Johnson & Johnson and Medtronic and is a consultant to Medtronic, Mentice, Microvention, Philips and Stryker. J. Ospel: is a consultant for Nicolab.

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