Progression-free survival versus post-progression survival and overall survival in WHO grade 2 gliomas

Abstract

Background and purpose: Progression-free survival (PFS) remains to be validated as an outcome measure for diffuse WHO grade 2 gliomas, and knowledge about the relationships between PFS, post-progression survival (PPS), and overall survival (OS) in this subset of tumors is limited. We sought to assess correlations between PFS and OS, and identify factors associated with PFS, PPS, and OS in patients treated for diffuse supratentorial WHO grade 2 gliomas.

Material and methods: We included 319 patients from three independent observational cohorts. The correlation between PFS and OS was analyzed using independent exponential distributions for PFS and time from progression to death. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the effects of covariates on PFS, PPS, and OS.

Results: The overall correlation between PFS and OS was rs0.31. The correlation was rs 0.37 for astrocytomas and rs 0.19 for oligodendrogliomas. Longer PFS did not predict longer PPS. Patients with astrocytomas had shorter PFS, PPS, and OS. Larger preoperative tumor volume was a risk factor for shorter PFS, while older age was a risk factor for shorter PPS and OS. Patients who received early radio- and chemotherapy had longer PFS, but shorter PPS and OS.

Interpretation: We found a weak correlation between PFS and OS in WHO grade 2 gliomas, with the weakest correlation observed in oligodendrogliomas. Our analyses did not demonstrate any association between PFS and PPS. Critically, predictors of PFS are not necessarily predictors of OS. There is a need for validation of PFS as an endpoint in diffuse WHO grade 2 gliomas.

Figure 1

The relationship between progression-free survival and overall survival. Each patient is represented by a horizontal bar. Patients are ranked in order of their progression-free survival in years.