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. 2024 Oct 25;24(1):331.
doi: 10.1186/s12893-024-02629-3.

Construction of a nomogram for preoperative deep vein thrombosis in pelvic fracture patients

Wencai Li #  1 , He Ling #  1 , Zhao Huang  1 , Yonghui Lao  1 , Junjie Liu  1 , Gaoyong Deng  1 , Wei Su  1 , Rongbin Lu  2
Affiliations

Construction of a nomogram for preoperative deep vein thrombosis in pelvic fracture patients

Wencai Li et al. BMC Surg. .

Abstract

Background: In recent years, the incidence of pelvic fractures has been on the rise, predominantly affecting the elderly population. Deep vein thrombosis may lead to poor prognosis in patients. monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio is novel biomarkers of inflammation, and this study aims to verify their predictive effect and construct the nomogram model.

Method: This study used binary logistic regression analysis to predict the predictive effect of MLR on the occurrence of DVT in pelvic fractures patients. And use R studio to construct nomogram model.

Result: The results showed that Age (1.04 [1.01, 1.07], p = 0.006), WBC (1.44 [1.28, 1.61], p < 0.001), and MLR (2.11 [1.08, 4.13], p = 0.029) were independent predictive factors. The nomogram demonstrated good predictive performance with small errors in both the training and validation groups, and most clinical patients could benefit from them.

Conclusion: The nomogram constructed based on MLR can assist clinicians in early assessment of the probability of DVT occurrence.

Keywords: Deep vein thrombosis; Monocyte to lymphocyte ratio; Nomogram; Pelvic fractures.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no competing interests.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Flow chart of this study
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Box plot of clinical differential factors
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Receiver operating characteristic of clinical differential factors
Fig. 4
Fig. 4
The nomogram of the study
Fig. 5
Fig. 5
Receiver operating characteristic of nomogram. A. Training test; B. Validation test
Fig. 6
Fig. 6
Calibration plot of the nomogram. A. Training test; B. Validation test
Fig. 7
Fig. 7
DCA curve of the nomogram. A. Training test; B. Validation test
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