Chronobiological perspectives and meteorological associations in symptomatic popliteal artery aneurysms

Abstract

The potential influence of circadian rhythm, seasonal variations, and alterations in meteorological parameters has been studied across various vascular events. However, there is a lack of evidence on the potential chronobiological impacts on thromboembolic events related to the most common peripheral aneurysm, the popliteal artery aneurysm (PAA). Data was obtained from a German PAA registry and the German Meteorological Service (Deutscher Wetterdienst). In this observational cohort study seasonality and chronobiology as well as associations with meteorological parameters of symptomatic PAA were investigated. In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, it was further analyzed whether meteorological parameters could distinguish asymptomatic from symptomatic patients in the registry. Of 1200 registered PAA, n = 142 PAA presented with acute limb ischemia between February 2011 and September 2022. More symptomatic patients (57.0%) presented to the hospital between January and June than in the second half of the year with a nadir in the fall season. Symptom onset was predominantly in the morning hours (39.5%). Atmospheric pressure and humidity values from the index dates diverged from a normal distribution showing a bimodal ("double-peak") configuration. Most patients developed symptoms after a reduction in temperatures compared to 1 or 2 d prior to the index date. However, we found evidence for an interaction between age and temperature difference, where the effects of a decreasing temperature fade with increasing age. Facing the complexity of individual-environment interactions, further investigations are needed to determine whether meteorological parameters are true risk modifiers or surrogates for seasonal differences and altered behaviors.

Keywords: Popliteal artery aneurysm; acute limb ischemia; chronobiology; meteorological association; registry; seasonality.