[Predictors of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Chronic Coronary Artery Disease After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting: a Prospective, Observational, Single-Centre, Non-Randomized Study]

Abstract

Aim: To study the factors that influence the occurrence of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) in patients with chronic ischemic heart disease (IHD) after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).

Material and methods: This single-center prospective observational non-randomized study included 152 patients with chronic IHD. Mean age of patients was 64.4±5.9 years. All patients after CABG were divided into two groups based on the occurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in the early postoperative period: group 1, with POAF (n=43; 28.3%) and group 2, without POAF (n=109; 71.7%). The primary study endpoint was new-onset POAF in the early postoperative (hospital) period after CABG. The secondary study endpoint was in-hospital postoperative complications (non-fatal/fatal acute coronary syndrome (ACS), non-fatal/fatal stroke, major bleeding, death).

Results: Patients with POAF had significantly more pronounced structural and functional changes in the heart than patients with preserved sinus rhythm after CABG: larger left ventricular (LV) volume, greater LV myocardial mass, lower LV systolic function parameters and impaired diastolic function, and an enlarged left atrial (LA) cavity. Analysis of in-hospital complications did not show any differences between the groups associated with the development of POAF. The following risk factors for POAF were identified: age older than 65 years (p=0.022), body mass index ≥30.5 kg/m2 (p=0.020), epicardial adipose tissue thickness >10.5 mm (p=0.015), indexed LA volume >33 ml/m2 (p<0.001), LV myocardial mass index >115 g/m2 (p=0.042), left main coronary artery disease >50% (p=0.043), duration of cardiopulmonary bypass during CABG >60 min (p=0.019), blood potassium concentration in the early postoperative period after CABG (on the first day) <3.6 mmol/l (p<0.001), and pericardial effusion volume in the early postoperative period >88 ml (p<0.001).

Conclusion: Determining the risk of developing POAF is important and necessary for the closest monitoring of a patient with chronic IHD in the postoperative period.