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. 2024 Nov 2:53:101226.
doi: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101226. eCollection 2024 Dec.

Impact of time to antibiotics on clinical outcome in paediatric febrile neutropenia: a target trial emulation of 1685 episodes

Affiliations

Impact of time to antibiotics on clinical outcome in paediatric febrile neutropenia: a target trial emulation of 1685 episodes

Gabrielle M Haeusler et al. Lancet Reg Health West Pac. .

Abstract

Background: Prompt antibiotic administration for febrile neutropenia (FN) is standard of care, and targets of time to antibiotics (TTA) <60 min are common. We sought to determine the effect of TTA ≥60 versus <60 min on adverse outcomes (intensive care unit (ICU) admission or death) in children with cancer and FN. Effect modification by a decision rule that predicts infection (AUS-rule) and bacteraemia were also investigated.

Methods: The prospective, multi-centre (n = 8), Australian PICNICC study dataset was analysed. To control for confounding, we used outcome regression adjusted for propensity score modelled as restricted cubic spline with two degrees of freedom. The propensity score was estimated from a logistic regression model for the exposure on the confounders, identified a priori (age, sex, severely unwell, disease, chemotherapy intensity and site). TTA was defined as time from from emergency triage to first antibiotic dose.

Findings: 1685 FN episodes in 976 patients were included. Median TTA was 53 min (IQR 37-77 min, 1542 (92%) <120 min). An adverse outcome occurred in 43 (2.6%) episodes (39 ICU; 5 deaths). The confounder-adjusted point estimate suggested a lower risk for adverse outcome associated with TTA ≥60 min (RR 0.62, 95% CI 0.32-1.21), but the wide 95% CI precluded definitive judgement about strength and direction of the effect (unadjusted RR 0.52; 95% CI 0.26, 1.05). Similarly, although the point estimates were suggestive of a null association or reduced risk for adverse outcome associated with TTA ≥60 min for all comparisons across bacteraemia or AUS-rule strata, the 95% CIs were imprecise.

Interpretation: For children with FN, there was no definite evidence that TTA ≥60 min from hospital triage (but within 2 h), increased risk of adverse outcome or prolonged hospital admission. This study has important implications for FN TTA mandates, suggesting a more nuanced approach is required.

Funding: National Health and Medical Research Council and Medical Research Future Fund.

Keywords: Children with cancer; Febrile neutropenia (FN); Time to antibiotics (TTA).

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Conflict of interest statement

There are no conflicts of interest to disclose.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Estimated average causal effect on primary outcome (ICU admission or death) for time to antibiotics (≥60 versus <60 min) overall, for the subset with known absolute neutrophil count, and by AUS-rule score or presence of bacteraemia, and for time to antibiotics since fever onset at home (≥180 versus <180 min) for the subset with available data. FN, febrile neutropenia; TTA, time to antibiotics; RR, risk ratio; CI, confidence interval.

References

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