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Meta-Analysis
. 2024 Nov 27;33(174):230261.
doi: 10.1183/16000617.0261-2023. Print 2024 Oct.

The impact of body mass index on mortality in COPD: an updated dose-response meta-analysis

Affiliations
Meta-Analysis

The impact of body mass index on mortality in COPD: an updated dose-response meta-analysis

Eric Daniel Tenda et al. Eur Respir Rev. .

Abstract

Background and objective: The obesity paradox is a well-established clinical conundrum in COPD patients. This study aimed to provide an updated analysis of the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and mortality in this population.

Methods: A systematic search was conducted through Embase, PubMed, and Web of Science. International BMI cut-offs were employed to define underweight, overweight and obesity. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcome was respiratory and cardiovascular mortality.

Results: 120 studies encompassed a total of 1 053 272 patients. Underweight status was associated with an increased risk of mortality, while overweight and obesity were linked to a reduced risk of mortality. A nonlinear U-shaped relationship was observed between BMI and all-cause mortality, respiratory mortality and cardiovascular mortality. Notably, an inflection point was identified at BMI 28.75 kg·m-2 (relative risk 0.83, 95% CI 0.80-0.86), 30.25 kg·m-2 (relative risk 0.51, 95% CI 0.40-0.65) and 27.5 kg·m-2 (relative risk 0.76, 95% CI 0.64-0.91) for all-cause, respiratory and cardiovascular mortality, respectively, and beyond which the protective effect began to diminish.

Conclusion: This study augments the existing body of evidence by confirming a U-shaped relationship between BMI and mortality in COPD patients. It underscores the heightened influence of BMI on respiratory and cardiovascular mortality compared to all-cause mortality. The protective effect of BMI was lost when BMI values exceeded 35.25 kg·m-2, 35 kg·m-2 and 31 kg·m-2 for all-cause, respiratory and cardiovascular mortality, respectively.

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Conflict of interest statement

Conflict of interest: All authors have nothing to disclose.

Figures

FIGURE 1
FIGURE 1
Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis [14] flow diagram depicting the study's selection process. PECO: population, exposure, comparison and outcomes.
FIGURE 2
FIGURE 2
Summary of risk of bias analysis using the Quality in Prognosis Studies signalling tool.
FIGURE 3
FIGURE 3
Summary of meta-analysis between the underweight body mass index (BMI) category versus normal BMI as reference. AECOPD: acute exacerbation of COPD; DL: DerSimonian and Laird
FIGURE 4
FIGURE 4
Summary of meta-analysis between the overweight body mass index (BMI) category versus normal BMI as reference. AECOPD: acute exacerbation of COPD; DL: DerSimonian and Laird.
FIGURE 5
FIGURE 5
Summary of meta-analysis between the obese body mass index (BMI) category versus normal BMI as reference. AECOPD: acute exacerbation of COPD; DL: DerSimonian and Laird.
FIGURE 6
FIGURE 6
Summary of meta-analysis per 1 kg·m−2 increment in body mass index. DL: DerSimonian and Laird.
FIGURE 7
FIGURE 7
Dose–response meta-analysis between body mass index (BMI) and mortality. a) All-cause mortality, b) respiratory mortality, c) cardiovascular mortality.

References

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