Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
. 2024 Nov;53(11):2473-2481.
doi: 10.18502/ijph.v53i11.16950.

Trends and Projections of Mortality Attributed to Occupational Neoplasms and Occupational Tracheal, Bronchus, and Lung Cancer in the World, G7 Countries and Turkey

Elif Nur Yıldırım-Ozturk  1 , Mustafa Ozturk  2
Affiliations

Trends and Projections of Mortality Attributed to Occupational Neoplasms and Occupational Tracheal, Bronchus, and Lung Cancer in the World, G7 Countries and Turkey

Elif Nur Yıldırım-Ozturk et al. Iran J Public Health. 2024 Nov.

Abstract

Background: The most important and remarkable aspect of occupational neoplasms is that they are preventable. We aimed to examine the trends and projections of mortality rates attributed to occupational neoplasms (MAON) and occupational tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer (MAOLCa) in the world, G7 countries, and Turkey from 1990 to 2040.

Methods: The study was ecological one. Data for the study were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Foresight Visualization. For the study, time points were set every five years. For each time point, the age-standardized MAON, MAOLCa, and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were recorded. Rates were analyzed by joinpoint regression analysis.

Results: Globally, MAON was projected to decrease from 3.81% in 1990 to 2.83% in 2040. According to the joinpoint regression analysis, the joint year for the world was 2020. In Germany, the US, the UK, Italy, Canada and Turkey, the trend for MAON showed a decrease, similar to the global trend. However, MAON was stable in France and increased in Japan. Globally, MAOLCa was expected to decline gradually from 19.44% to 16.82% from 1990 to 2040. In the US, France and Turkey, the trend for MAOLca decreased, similar to the global trend. However, it was stable in the UK, Italy, and Canada and increased in Germany and Japan.

Conclusion: MAON tended to decrease worldwide and in the six countries, except France and Japan. MAOLCa tends to decrease worldwide, in the US, France, and Turkey, increase in Germany and Japan, and remain stable in the UK, Italy, and Canada.

Keywords: Occupational lung cancer; Occupational neoplasm; Projection; Trend.

PubMed Disclaimer

Figures

Fig. 1:
Fig. 1:
Trends, projections and joint years of mortality attributed to occupational neoplasms
Fig. 2:
Fig. 2:
Trends, projections, and joint years of mortality attributed to occupational tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer
See this image and copyright information in PMC

Similar articles

See all similar articles

Cited by

References

    1. Franco G. (2014). A tribute to Bernardino Ramazzini (1633–1714) on the tercentenary of his death. Occup Med (Lond), 64(1): 2–4. - PubMed
    1. Carnevale F, Iavicoli S. (2015). Bernardino Ramazzini (1633–1714): a visionary physician, scientist and communicator. Occup Environ Med, 72(1): 2–3. - PubMed
    1. Fernandez-Flores A, Fonseca E. (2022). Scrotal cancer, chimney sweepers and Sir Percival Pott. Clin Dermatol, 40(2): 209–220. - PubMed
    1. Grosche B, Kreuzer M, Kreisheimer M, et al. (2006). Lung cancer risk among German male uranium miners: a cohort study, 1946–1998. Br J Cancer, 95(9): 1280–1287. - PMC - PubMed
    1. Doll R. (1955). Mortality from lung cancer in asbestos workers. Br J Ind Med, 12(2): 81–86. - PMC - PubMed

LinkOut - more resources