CT-Defined Pectoralis Muscle Density Predicts 30-Day Mortality in Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19: A Nationwide Multicenter Study

Abstract

Rationale and objectives: The prognostic role of computed tomography (CT)-defined skeletal muscle features in COVID-19 is still under investigation. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic role of CT-defined skeletal muscle area and density in patients with COVID-19 in a multicenter setting.

Materials and methods: This retrospective study is a part of the German multicenter project RACOON (Radiological Cooperative Network of the COVID-19 pandemic). The acquired sample included 1379 patients, 389 (28.2%) women and 990 (71.8%) men. In each case, chest CT was analyzed and pectoralis muscle area and density were calculated. Data were analyzed by means of descriptive statistics. Group differences were calculated using the Mann-Whitney-U test and Fisher's exact test. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed.

Results: The 30-day mortality was 17.9%. Using median values as thresholds, low pectoralis muscle density (LPMD) was a strong and independent predictor of 30-day mortality, HR=2.97, 95%-CI: 1.52-5.80, p=0.001. Also in male patients, LPMD predicted independently 30-day mortality, HR=2.96, 95%-CI: 1.42-6.18, p=0.004. In female patients, the analyzed pectoralis muscle parameters did not predict 30-day mortality. For patients under 60 years of age, LPMD was strongly associated with 30-day mortality, HR=2.72, 95%-CI: 1.17;6.30, p=0.019. For patients over 60 years of age, pectoralis muscle parameters could not predict 30-day mortality.

Conclusion: In male patients with COVID-19, low pectoralis muscle density is strongly associated with 30-day mortality and can be used for risk stratification. In female patients with COVID-19, pectoralis muscle parameters cannot predict 30-day mortality.

Keywords: Body composition; COVID-19; CT; Sarcopenia; Skeletal muscle.