New-onset cardiovascular diseases post SARS-CoV-2 infection in an urban population in the Bronx

Abstract

This study investigated the incidence of new-onset cardiovascular disorders up to 3.5 years post SARS-CoV-2 infection for 56,400 individuals with COVID-19 and 1,093,904 contemporary controls without COVID-19 in the Montefiore Health System (03/11/2020 to 07/01/2023). Outcomes were new incidence of major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), arrhythmias, inflammatory heart disease, thrombosis, cerebrovascular disorders, ischemic heart disease and other cardiac disorders between 30 days and (up to) 3.5 years post index date. Results were also compared with a pre-pandemic cohort over similar observation duration (N = 64,541). Cumulative incidence and hazard ratios adjusted for competitive risks were analyzed. Compared to contemporary controls, hospitalized COVID-19 patients had significantly higher risk of developing MACE (aHR = 2.29, 95% confidence interval [2.27, 2.31], p < 0.001), arrhythmias (aHR = 2.54[2.50, 2.58], p < 0.001), inflammatory heart disease (aHR = 5.34[4.79, 5.96], p < 0.001), cerebrovascular (aHR = 2.05[2.00, 2.11], p < 0.001), other cardiac disorders (aHR = 2.31[2.26, 2.35], p < 0.001), thrombosis (aHR = 4.25[4.15, 4.36], p < 0.001), and ischemic heart disease (aHR = 1.89[1.86, 1.92], p < 0.001). Non-hospitalized COVID-19 patients had slightly higher risk of developing MACE (aHR = 1.04[1.03, 1.06], p < 0.001), arrhythmias (aHR = 1.10[1.08, 1.12], p < 0.001), inflammatory heart disease (aHR = 2.29 [2.03, 2.59], p < 0.001), cerebrovascular (aHR = 1.11[1.07, 1.15], p < 0.001), and ischemic heart disease (aHR = 1.10[1.08, 1.13], p < 0.001). Race and ethnicity were mostly not associated with increased risks (p > 0.05). aHRs with contemporary controls as a reference were similar to those with pre-pandemic cohort as a reference. We concluded that new incident cardiovascular disorders in COVID-19 patients, especially those hospitalized for COVID-19, were higher than those in controls. Identifying risk factors for developing new-onset cardiovascular disorders may draw clinical attention for the need for careful follow-up in at-risk individuals.

Keywords: heart attack; long COVID-19; myocarditis; post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC); stroke.

Fig. 1

Cumulative incidence curves for cardiovascular outcomes with COVID-19 compared to non-COVID-19 patients. These are raw incidences that have not been adjusted for covariates. Shaded regions are 95% confidence intervals.