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. 2024 Dec 30;14(1):32045.
doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-83716-6.

Time to recovery from visceral leishmaniasis and its predictors of mature visceral leishmaniasis patients admitted at Metema Hospital, Metema, Ethiopia

Habitamu Wudu  1 , Chekol Alemu  2
Affiliations

Time to recovery from visceral leishmaniasis and its predictors of mature visceral leishmaniasis patients admitted at Metema Hospital, Metema, Ethiopia

Habitamu Wudu et al. Sci Rep. .

Abstract

Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is a neglected tropical disease that mostly affects the working-class and impoverished segments of society, having a significant negative effect on the economic development of the affected nation. While anti-leishmanial medications lower mortality among VL patients, patients may still die or require more time to recover (TTR) while receiving treatment. In this regard, there are limited studies in Ethiopia. This study aims to determine the time to recovery and its associated predictors among adult VL patients at Metema Hospital. A hospital-based cross-sectional study design was employed, and the data were collected in patient's charts from September 2017 to September 2021. Data were entered and analyzed using Epi-data, STATA version 14.2, and R 3.4.0 statistical software. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve and log-rank tests were used to compare the survival time. The Cox proportional hazard model assumption and model fitness were checked and used to identify statistical association predictors in VL patients. The Cox proportional hazard (Cox-PH) model was fitted. The overall medium recovery time was 7 days (minimum 4, maximum 14 days). The variables nasal bleeding (adjusted hazard ratio/AHR: 0.44; 95% CI: 0.19-0.89), no comorbidity (AHR: 2.29; 95% CI: 1.27-4.11), relapse VL (AHR: 0.33; 95% CI: 0.15-0.75),low parasite load (AHR: 2.58; 95% CI: 1.48-4.51), and ambulatory (AHR: 3.26; 95% CI: 2.45-6.53) were significantly associated with TTR in VL patients. Patients with comorbidities, nasal bleeding, relapse VL, bedridden, and high parasite load should be treated and monitored carefully to recover quickly from their illness.

Keywords: Cox proportional hazard model; Ethiopia; Visceral leishmaniasis.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declarations. Competing interests: The authors declare no competing interests.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Kaplan–Meier surival probability curve of visceral leishmaniasis patients.
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Kaplan–Meier survival curve among some independent variable of visceral leishmaniasis Patents at Metema hospital, 2022.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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