Implementation of model-informed precision dosing for tamoxifen therapy in patients with breast cancer: A prospective intervention study

Abstract

Tamoxifen is an estrogen-receptor (ER) antagonist, used as adjuvant treatment of ER-positive breast cancer. It is converted by CYP2D6 into endoxifen, its most active metabolite. Patients with endoxifen plasma concentrations <16 nM face a higher risk of recurrence. The use of a priori model-informed precision dosing (MIPD) may lead to faster target attainment and thus potentially improve patient outcomes. In total, 106 evaluable patients were prospectively included in this single-arm MIPD-intervention study. Patients received a model-predicted tamoxifen dose when starting tamoxifen-treatment (65.1 % of patients received 20 mg, 16.0 % received 30 mg and 18.9 % received 40 mg). Seventy-five percent of the 40 mg group was predicted to be unable to reach the threshold of 16 nM despite receiving the highest registered dose. After attaining steady-state, 84.0 % of patients reached endoxifen levels ≥16 nM, which was not significantly higher compared to a historical control cohort (77.9 %, p = 0.17). The model showed adequate performance and correctly identified patients requiring 40 mg tamoxifen. Endoxifen samples that were acquired 4-6 weeks after treatment initiation, are informative of steady-state endoxifen levels and can be used to inform MIPD and adjust tamoxifen dosing prior to steady-state attainment. In this first MIPD implementation study for patients treated with tamoxifen, MIPD did lead to more patients achieving endoxifen levels ≥16 nM as compared to the one-dose-fits-all strategy, albeit insignificant. This may partly be explained by a larger proportion of patients who were recommended to switch to an aromatase inhibitor (AI) in the intervention cohort. In conclusion, MIPD seems beneficial compared to one-size-fits-all-dosing, but TDM still remains an important addition.

Keywords: Breast cancer; Endoxifen; Estrogen receptor positive; Hormone therapy; Model informed precision dosing; Tamoxifen; Therapeutic drug monitoring.

Fig. 1

Flowchart for patient selection.

Fig. 2

Distribution of steady-state endoxifen plasma concentrations in the intervention cohort. The top plot shows the distribution with the predicted endoxifen concentration when treated with 20 mg whereas the bottom plot shows the same distribution with a dose-corrected model prediction. dotted vertical lines depict the dosing cut-off points. Dashed horizontal lines depict the therapeutic index. Diagonal grey lines depict the unity line (solid) and the 80 – 125 % interval (dashed).