doi: 10.1016/s0022-5193(85)80294-0.
Nearly one dimensional dynamics in an epidemic
- PMID: 3982045
- DOI: 10.1016/s0022-5193(85)80294-0
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Nearly one dimensional dynamics in an epidemic
J Theor Biol.
.
Abstract
The incidence of measles in New York City and Baltimore was studied using recently developed techniques in nonlinear dynamics. The data, monthly case reports for the years 1928-1963, suggest almost two dimensional, chaotic flows whose essential attributes are captured by one dimensional, unimodal maps. The effects of noise, inevitable in ecological and epidemiological systems are discussed.
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