Impact of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty/Steatotic Liver Disease on Hepatocellular Carcinoma Incidence and Long-Term Prognosis Post-Liver Resection: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Abstract

Background: This study investigates the influence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD)/metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) on the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among general population and patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). It also explores its implications for the long-term prognosis of HCC patients following hepatic resection.

Methods: Relevant studies were selected based on predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria, including adherence to diagnostic criteria for MAFLD/MASLD and reporting hazard ratios (HRs) using Cox proportional hazards models. The meta-analysis utilized R statistical software (version 4.3.0) with random-effects models to calculate pooled HRs. Sensitivity analyses were performed to ensure the robustness of results.

Results: Our analysis included 19 studies, among which 12 studies focused on the cumulative incidence of HCC in the general population (979,213 individuals; 294,984 with MAFLD/MASLD and 684,229 without). MAFLD/MASLD significantly increased the cumulative incidence of HCC in the general population (HR = 1.82; 95% CI, 1.34-2.48). In CHB patients (316,445 participants; 108,183 with MAFLD/MASLD and 208,262 without), the cumulative incidence of HCC was also higher in the MAFLD/MASLD group (HR = 1.36; 95% CI, 1.32-1.40). For 7383 postoperative HCC patients (2192 with MAFLD/MASLD and 5191 without), MAFLD/MASLD did not significantly affect overall survival (OS) (HR = 0.93; 95% CI, 0.69-1.26) or recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR = 0.98; 95% CI, 0.86-1.13).

Conclusion: In conclusion, MAFLD/MASLD can significantly increase the incidence of HCC in both the general population and CHB patients. However, it does not significantly influence long-term prognosis after hepatic resection, suggesting that other factors may have a greater role in determining postoperative outcomes. This highlights the need for tailored management strategies for MAFLD/MASLD patients undergoing HCC resection.

Keywords: Hepatitis B; Hepatocellular carcinoma; Meta-analysis; Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease; Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.