Patterns, timing and predictors of recurrence following pancreaticoduodenectomy for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: an international multicentre retrospective cohort study

Abstract

Background: Most patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) develop recurrence. No previous studies have investigated predictors of local-only recurrence following PD for PDAC. Our study aimed to determine timing, pattern and predictors of any-site and local-only recurrence following PD for PDAC.

Methods: Patients who underwent PD for PDAC between June 2012 and May 2015 (29 centres, eight countries) were included. The primary outcome was recurrence pattern (none, local-only, distant-only or mixed local/distant). Data were collected on demographics, comorbidities, investigations, operation details, complications, histology, adjuvant therapies, recurrence and survival. Univariable tests and regression analysis investigated factors associated with any-site and local-only recurrence.

Results: Of 866 patients, 573 (66 %) developed recurrence: 170 (20 %) developed local-only recurrence, 164 (19 %) developed mixed local/distant recurrence, and 239 (28 %) developed distant-only recurrence. Local-only or lung-only recurrence had a more favourable prognosis than other recurrence patterns. Predictors of any-site recurrence were preoperative biliary stenting, venous resection and poorly-differentiated, node-positive tumours. Predictors of local-only recurrence were preoperative radiological lymphadenopathy, well-differentiated tumours, fewer than 15 resected lymph nodes and intraoperative blood transfusion.

Discussion: Ensuring radical resection and avoiding intraoperative blood transfusion may reduce the risk of local-only recurrence following PD for PDAC.