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Multicenter Study
. 2025 Feb;13(2):e212-e221.
doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(24)00450-9.

Prevalence, aetiology, and hospital outcomes of paediatric acute critical illness in resource-constrained settings (Global PARITY): a multicentre, international, point prevalence and prospective cohort study

Collaborators, Affiliations
Multicenter Study

Prevalence, aetiology, and hospital outcomes of paediatric acute critical illness in resource-constrained settings (Global PARITY): a multicentre, international, point prevalence and prospective cohort study

Teresa B Kortz et al. Lancet Glob Health. 2025 Feb.

Abstract

Background: Children in resource-constrained settings (RCS) have disproportionately high illness and mortality; however, the prevalence in RCS of paediatric acute critical illness (P-ACI; life-threatening conditions that require time-sensitive interventions) is unknown. Most P-ACI can be managed with basic critical care (stabilisation, fluid resuscitation, oxygen, and vital-organ support), but RCS hospitals often lack such essential services. This study estimated the prevalence and examined the aetiology of P-ACI among children at RCS hospitals to support critical care capacity building and inform resource allocation.

Methods: We conducted a hybrid prospective cohort and multinational point prevalence study of acutely ill or injured children aged 28 days to 14 years who presented to RCS hospitals on four designated days between July 20, 2021, and July 12, 2022. We measured the proportion of participants with P-ACI, applying the definition for acute paediatric critical illness (DEFCRIT) framework for research in resource-variable settings, and followed up admitted patients for hospital outcomes. In participants with P-ACI, we report diagnoses associated with critical illness. We used descriptive statistics to summarise site and cohort data by country sociodemographic category (Socio-demographic Index; SDI) and multivariable logistic regression to assess whether country sociodemographic category was independently associated with P-ACI.

Findings: The study included 46 sites, 19 countries, and 7538 children, among whom 2651 (35·2%) were admitted to hospital and 68 died (all-cause mortality 0·9% [95% CI 0·7-1·1]). 985 (13·1% [95% CI 12·3-13·9]) participants had P-ACI. Among all sociodemographic categories, P-ACI prevalence was highest (28·0% [26·0-30·1]; 512 of 1828 participants) in low-SDI countries (p<0·0001). Mortality among those with P-ACI was 6·3% (4·9-8·0; 62 deaths). The most common P-ACI diagnoses were pneumonia (152 [15·4%] of 985 participants), sepsis or septic shock (102 [10·4%]), and malaria (95 [9·6%]). In an adjusted model, country sociodemographic category was not significantly associated with P-ACI frequency. Among all 68 deaths in the study, 40 (59% [46-71]) occurred within 48 h of presentation.

Interpretation: P-ACI in RCS hospitals is common, associated with high mortality, disproportionately elevated in low-SDI countries, and associated with conditions that can be managed with basic critical care. This study underlines the need for investment in basic critical care services in RCS to address a major contributor to preventable mortality in hospitalised children.

Funding: National Institutes of Health (USA); Medical Research Council (Singapore); Grand Challenges Canada; and University of Maryland, Baltimore (USA).

Translations: For the French, Portuguese and Spanish translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declaration of interests AB has received support from the University of Maryland Baltimore President's Global Impact Funds. WB has received consulting fees from the University of Maryland School of Medicine. JC-C has been a speaker for Novamed and Tecnoquimicas; has received financial travel support from BAGO to attend the Colombian Congress of Pediatrics; has participated on an advisory board for Zambon Colombia; and has acted as an investigator in phase 2 and 3 clinical trials of Merck Sharp and Dohme drugs (antibiotics and monoclonal antibodies), outside of the course of this study. DH has received consulting fees from the University of Maryland School of Medicine. JHL has received support from the National Research Medical Council, Singapore (MOH-TA19nov-001) and from the Thrasher Foundation, USA. All other authors declare no competing interests. The Global PARITY Investigators’ interests are provided in appendix 4 (p 94).

Figures

Figure 1:
Figure 1:. Screening, participant enrolment, and outcomes by P-ACI status
P-ACI=paediatric acute critical illness.
Figure 2:
Figure 2:. Prevalence of P-ACI and mortality among acutely ill or injured children presenting to a resource-constrained hospital, by country sociodemographic category
Country sociodemographic category was based on SDI quintile. Note that scales differ between the left axis (prevalence of P-ACI) and right axis (mortality). Error bars are 95% CIs. Significant differences were identified in the prevalence of P-ACI and mortality by sociodemographic category. P-ACI=paediatric acute critical illness. SDI=Socio-demographic Index.
Figure 3:
Figure 3:. Diagnoses among paediatric patients with P-ACI in the overall cohort and by country sociodemographic category
Country sociodemographic category was based on SDI quintile. The most common diagnoses associated with P-ACI are shown. Numbers in individual cells represent the ranking of the specified diagnosis, where 1 is the most common (darker shading). Grey shading indicates rankings outside of the top 10 overall diagnoses. Numbers and percentages of patients with each diagnosis in the overall cohort are provided in appendix 4 (p 82). P-ACI=paediatric acute critical illness. SDI=Socio-demographic Index.

Comment in

  • Climate change and NTDs: a perfect storm.
    The Lancet Global Health. The Lancet Global Health. Lancet Glob Health. 2025 Feb;13(2):e172. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(25)00014-2. Lancet Glob Health. 2025. PMID: 39890211 No abstract available.

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