Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
. 2025 Feb 3;8(2):e2458090.
doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.58090.

Recent Drug Overdose Mortality Decline Compared With Pre-COVID-19 Trend

Affiliations

Recent Drug Overdose Mortality Decline Compared With Pre-COVID-19 Trend

Mathew V Kiang et al. JAMA Netw Open. .
No abstract available

Plain language summary

This cross-sectional study compares annual state-level fatal drug overdose rates from 2020 through 2023 with the expected fatal drug overdose rates based on trajectories before the COVID-19 pandemic.

PubMed Disclaimer

Conflict of interest statement

Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Dr Kiang reported receiving grant R00DA051534 from the National Institutes of Health outside the submitted work. No other disclosures were reported.

Figures

Figure 1.
Figure 1.. Summary of the Observed Mortality Rate Compared With the Expected Mortality Rate for 2020 Through 2023 for Each State
Expected mortality is based on a joinpoint regression model fit to data from 1999 to 2019 and estimated for 2020 to 2023.
Figure 2.
Figure 2.. Observed vs Estimated Drug-Related Mortality Rates by State, 2020 to 2023
The dotted line indicates where the observed and expected mortality rates are equal, and the dots indicate observations that were statistically higher (blue) or lower (orange) and not statistically different (gray).

Similar articles

Cited by

References

    1. Vital statistics rapid release—provisional drug overdose data. National Center for Health Statistics. Accessed September 28, 2024. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/drug-overdose-data.htm
    1. Jalal H, Buchanich JM, Roberts MS, Balmert LC, Zhang K, Burke DS. Changing dynamics of the drug overdose epidemic in the United States from 1979 through 2016. Science. 2018;361(6408). doi:10.1126/science.aau1184 - DOI - PMC - PubMed
    1. Kim HJ, Fay MP, Feuer EJ, Midthune DN. Permutation tests for joinpoint regression with applications to cancer rates. Stat Med. 2000;19(3):335-351. doi:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0258(20000215)19:3<335::AID-SIM336>3.0.CO;2-Z - DOI - PubMed
    1. Chen R, Aschmann HE, Chen YH, et al. . Racial and ethnic disparities in estimated excess mortality from external causes in the US, March to December 2020. JAMA Intern Med. 2022;182(7):776-778. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2022.1461 - DOI - PMC - PubMed
    1. Kiang MV, Basu S, Chen J, Alexander MJ. Assessment of changes in the geographical distribution of opioid-related mortality across the United States by opioid type, 1999-2016. JAMA Netw Open. 2019;2(2):e190040. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.0040 - DOI - PMC - PubMed