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Meta-Analysis
. 2025 Apr;36(4):653-671.
doi: 10.1007/s00198-025-07397-1. Epub 2025 Feb 16.

Rheumatoid arthritis and subsequent fracture risk: an individual person meta-analysis to update FRAX

John A Kanis  1 Helena Johansson  2   3 Eugene V McCloskey  2   4 Enwu Liu  5 Marian Schini  6 Liesbeth Vandenput  7 Kristina E Åkesson  8   9 Fred A Anderson  10 Rafael Azagra  11   12   13   14 Cecilie L Bager  15 Charlotte Beaudart  16   17 Heike A Bischoff-Ferrari  18   19 Emmanuel Biver  20 Olivier Bruyère  21 Jane A Cauley  22 Jacqueline R Center  23   24 Roland Chapurlat  25 Claus Christiansen  15 Cyrus Cooper  26   27   28 Carolyn J Crandall  29 Steven R Cummings  30 José A P da Silva  31   32 Bess Dawson-Hughes  33 Adolfo Diez-Perez  34 Alyssa B Dufour  35   36 John A Eisman  23   24   37 Petra J M Elders  38 Serge Ferrari  20 Yuki Fujita  39 Saeko Fujiwara  40 Claus-Christian Glüer  41 Inbal Goldshtein  42   43 David Goltzman  44 Vilmundur Gudnason  45   46 Jill Hall  47 Didier Hans  48 Mari Hoff  49   50 Rosemary J Hollick  51 Martijn Huisman  52   53 Masayuki Iki  54 Sophia Ish-Shalom  55 Graeme Jones  56 Magnus K Karlsson  8   57 Sundeep Khosla  58 Douglas P Kiel  35   36 Woon-Puay Koh  59   60 Fjorda Koromani  61   62 Mark A Kotowicz  63   64   65 Heikki Kröger  66   67 Timothy Kwok  68   69 Olivier Lamy  70   71 Arnulf Langhammer  72 Bagher Larijani  73 Kurt Lippuner  74 Fiona E A McGuigan  8 Dan Mellström  75   76 Thomas Merlijn  38 Tuan V Nguyen  77   78   79 Anna Nordström  80   81   82 Peter Nordström  83 Terence W O Neill  84   85 Barbara Obermayer-Pietsch  86 Claes Ohlsson  3   87 Eric S Orwoll  88 Julie A Pasco  63   64   65   89 Fernando Rivadeneira  61 Anne-Marie Schott  90 Eric J Shiroma  91 Kristin Siggeirsdottir  45   92 Eleanor M Simonsick  93 Elisabeth Sornay-Rendu  94 Reijo Sund  67 Karin Swart  95   96 Pawel Szulc  94 Junko Tamaki  97 David J Torgerson  98 Natasja M van Schoor  99   100 Tjeerd P van Staa  101 Joan Vila  102 Nicole C Wright  103 Noriko Yoshimura  104 M Carola Zillikens  61 Marta Zwart  13   14   105   106 Nicholas C Harvey  26   27 Mattias Lorentzon  3   107 William D Leslie  108
Affiliations
Meta-Analysis

Rheumatoid arthritis and subsequent fracture risk: an individual person meta-analysis to update FRAX

John A Kanis et al. Osteoporos Int. 2025 Apr.

Abstract

The relationship between rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and fracture risk was estimated in an international meta-analysis of individual-level data from 29 prospective cohorts. RA was associated with an increased fracture risk in men and women, and these data will be used to update FRAX®.

Introduction: RA is a well-documented risk factor for subsequent fracture that is incorporated into the FRAX algorithm. The aim of this study was to evaluate, in an international meta-analysis, the association between rheumatoid arthritis and subsequent fracture risk and its relation to sex, age, duration of follow-up, and bone mineral density (BMD) with a view to updating FRAX.

Methods: The resource comprised 1,909,896 men and women, aged 20-116 years, from 29 prospective cohorts in which the prevalence of RA was 3% or less (primary analysis) and an additional 17 cohorts with a prevalence greater than 3% (supplementary analysis). The association between RA and fracture risk (any clinical fracture, osteoporotic fracture, major osteoporotic fracture (MOF), and hip fracture) was examined using an extension of the Poisson regression model in each cohort and each sex, followed by random-effects meta-analyses of the weighted beta coefficients.

Results: In the primary analysis, RA was reported in 1.3% of individuals. During 15,683,133 person-years of follow-up, 139,002 fractures occurred, of which 27,518 were hip fractures. RA was associated with an increased risk of any clinical fracture (hazard ratio [HR] 1.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.35-1.65). The HRs were of similar magnitude for osteoporotic fracture and MOF but higher for hip fracture (HR = 2.23; 95% CI 1.85-2.69). For hip fracture, there was a significant interaction with age with higher HRs at younger ages. HRs did not differ between men and women and were independent of exposure to glucocorticoids and femoral neck BMD. Lower HRs were observed in the supplementary analysis cohorts, particularly in those with a high apparent prevalence of RA, possibly from conflation of RA with osteoarthritis.

Conclusions: A diagnosis of RA confers an increased risk of fracture that is largely independent of BMD, sex, and corticosteroids. RA should be retained as a risk factor in future iterations of FRAX with updated risk functions to improve fracture risk prediction.

Keywords: Epidemiology; FRAX; Fracture risk; Glucocorticoids; Hip fracture; Major osteoporotic fracture; Meta-analysis; Osteoporosis; Rheumatoid arthritis; Risk factors.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declarations. Ethical approval and consent to participate: All individual cohorts with candidate risk factors available have been approved by their local ethics committees, and informed consent has been obtained from all study participants with the exception of Maccabi. Informed consent was waived in Maccabi, as only deidentified, routinely collected data was used. General ethics approval for the use of all cohorts is also given by the University of Sheffield. This study does not contain any original studies with human participants or animals performed by any of the authors. Participant data are stored in coded, de-identified form. Only summary statistics and aggregate data are published, not allowing for the identification of individual study participants. Conflict of interest: JA Kanis led the team that developed FRAX as director of the WHO Collaborating Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases; he is a director of Osteoporosis Research Ltd., which maintains FRAX. EV McCloskey, WD Leslie, M. Lorentzon, NC Harvey, M. Schini, E. Liu, L. Vandenput, and H. Johansson are members of the FRAX team. JA Kanis, NC Harvey, and EV McCloskey are members of the advisory body of the National Osteoporosis Guideline Group. KE Åkesson has no financial interest related to FRAX and chaired the National SALAR Group for Person-Centered Care Pathway Osteoporosis. FA Anderson led the team that developed GLOW while being the director of the Center for Outcomes Research at the University of Massachusetts Medical School; he has no financial interest in FRAX. R. Azagra has received funding for research from Instituto Carlos III of Spanish Ministry of Health, IDIAP Jordi Gol of Catalan Government, and from Scientific Societies SEMFYC and SEIOMM. CL Bager is employed at Nordic Bioscience and owns stock in Nordic Bioscience. She declares no competing interests in relation to this work. HA Bischoff-Ferrari has no financial interest in FRAX. For the DO-HEALTH trial cohort, Prof. Bischoff-Ferrari reports independent and investigator-initiated grants from the European Commission Framework 7 Research Program, from the University of Zurich, from NESTEC, from Pfizer Consumer Healthcare, from Streuli Pharma, plus non-financial support from DNP. For the study cohort extension, she reports independent and investigator-initiated grants from Pfizer and Vifor. Further, Prof. Bischoff-Ferrari reports non-financial support from Roche Diagnostics and personal fees from Wild, Sandoz, Pfizer, Vifor, Mylan, Roche, and Meda Pharma, outside the submitted work with regard to speaker fees and travel fees. JR Center has received honoraria for speaking at educational meetings and for advisory boards from Amgen and honoraria for an advisory board from Bayer, all unrelated to this work. R. Chapurlat has no financial interest in FRAX. He has received grant funding from Amgen, UCB, Chugai, MSD, Mylan, and Medac. He has received honoraria from Amgen, UCB, Chugai, Galapagos, Biocon, AbbVie, Haoma Medica, Pfizer, Amolyt, MSD, Lilly, BMS, Novartis, Arrow, PKMed, Kyowa-Kirin, and Sanofi. C. Christiansen owns stock in Nordic Bioscience. He declares no competing interests in relation to this work. C. Cooper reports personal fees from Alliance for Better Bone Health, Amgen, Eli Lilly, GSK, Medtronic, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Roche, Servier, Takeda, and UCB. JAP da Silva has no financial interest in FRAX and reports personal fees from Amgen and Fresenius-Kabi, all outside the submitted work. A. Diez-Perez reports personal fees from Theramex and owns shares of Active Life Scientific, all outside the submitted work. JA Eisman declares consulting and research support from Actavis, Amgen, Aspen, Lilly, Merck Sharp and Dohme, Novartis, Sanofi-Aventis, Servier, and Theramex. PJM Elders has no financial interest in FRAX. PJM Elders reports support for the SOS study by Stichting Achmea Gezondheidszorg, Achmea, and VGZ zorgverzekeraar. Additional support was given by the Stichting Artsenlaboratorium en Trombosedienst. Outside the submitted work, she did receive independent investigator-driven grants from ZonMw, the Netherlands; de Hartstichting, the Netherlands; the European Foundation for the Study of Diabetes, Amgen, the Netherlands; TEVA, the Netherlands; and Takeda, the Netherlands. CC Glüer reports honoraria and research support from AgNovos, Amgen, Osteolabs, and UCB unrelated to this work. NC Harvey has received consultancy/lecture fees/honoraria/grant funding from Alliance for Better Bone Health, Amgen, MSD, Eli Lilly, Radius Health, Servier, Shire, UCB, Kyowa Kirin, Consilient Healthcare, Theramex, and Internis Pharma. DP Kiel has no financial interest in FRAX but has received support for his work in the Framingham Study over the past 32 years from the National Institutes of Health, AstraZeneca, Merck, Amgen, and Radius Health. MA Kotowicz has received funding from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) Australia, the Medical Research Future Fund (MRFF) Australia, and Amgen. He has served on advisory boards for Amgen Australia, Novartis, and Eli Lilly—all unrelated to this work—and is the Director of the Geelong Bone Densitometry Service. M. Lorentzon has received lecture fees from Amgen, Lilly, Meda, Renapharma, and UCB Pharma, and consulting fees from Amgen, Radius Health, UCB Pharma, Renapharma, Parexel International, and Consilient Health, all outside the presented work. EV McCloskey has received consultancy/lecture fees/grant funding/honoraria from AgNovos, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Consilient Healthcare, Fresenius Kabi, Gilead, GSK, Hologic, Internis, Lilly, Merck, Novartis, ObsEva, Pfizer, Radius Health, Redx Oncology, Roche, Sanofi Aventis, UCB, ViiV, Warner Chilcott, and I3 Innovus. C. Ohlsson is listed as a coinventor on two patent applications regarding probiotics in osteoporosis treatment. TW O’Neill reports honoraria from UCB unrelated to this work. ES Orwoll reports consulting fees from Angios, Biocon, Radius, and Bayer. JA Pasco has received funding from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) Australia, the Medical Research Future Fund (MRFF), Australia, and Amgen, all unrelated to this work. M. Schini received funding for her fellowship from the Medical Research Council Centre of Excellence for Musculoskeletal Ageing, from the Osteoporosis 2000 support group, and from Roche Diagnostics, and honoraria from MA Health care and Kyowa Kirin—all unrelated to this work. KMA Swart is an employee of the PHARMO Institute for Drug Outcomes Research. This independent research institute performs financially supported studies for the government, related healthcare authorities, and several pharmaceutical companies. NC Wright sits on the Board of Trustees of the US Bone Health and Osteoporosis Foundation and has received consulting fees from Radius and ArgenX. M. Zwart has received research funding from national societies (SEMFYC and SEIOMM). C. Beaudart, E. Biver, O. Bruyère, JA Cauley, CJ Crandall, SR Cummings, B. Dawson-Huges, AB Dufour, S. Ferrari, Y. Fujita, S. Fujiwara, I. Goldshtein, D. Goltzman, V. Gudnason, J. Hall, D. Hans, M. Hoff, RJ Hollick, M. Huisman, M. Iki, S. Ish-Shalom, H. Johansson, G. Jones, MK Karlsson, S. Khosla, W–P Koh, F. Koromani, H. Kröger, T. Kwok, O. Lamy, A. Langhammer, B. Larijani, WD Leslie, K. Lippuner, E. Liu, FEA Mcguigan, D. Mellström, T. Merlijn, T. Nguyen, A. Nordström, P. Nordström, B. Obermayer-Pietsch, F. Rivadeneira, A-M Schott, EJ Shiroma, K. Sigeirsdottir, EM Simonsick, E. Sornay-Rendu, R. Sund, P. Szulc, J. Tamaki, DJ Torgerson, L. Vandenput, NM van Schoor, TP van Staa, J. Vila, N. Yoshimura, and MC Zillikens declare no competing interests in relation to this work.

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