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. 2025 Jul;60(7):891-904.
doi: 10.1007/s00535-025-02242-y. Epub 2025 Mar 18.

Low HDL cholesterol levels in women and hypertriglyceridemia in men: predictors of MASLD onset in individuals without steatosis

Affiliations

Low HDL cholesterol levels in women and hypertriglyceridemia in men: predictors of MASLD onset in individuals without steatosis

Tsubasa Tsutsumi et al. J Gastroenterol. 2025 Jul.

Abstract

Background: Individuals with metabolic-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) have a worse prognosis compared to patients without steatosis, and its prevalence is increasing. However, detailed risk factors based on obesity and sex remain unclear. We aimed to investigate the impact of cardiometabolic risk factors (CMRFs) on the risk of MASLD in individuals without pre-existing SLD.

Methods: SLD was diagnosed by ultrasonography. Non-SLD individuals were followed 65,657 person-years. Incidence rates of MASLD were assessed by Kaplan-Meier analysis. Furthermore, independent factors associated with the development of MASLD were identified using Cox regression analysis, stratified by four groups: obese men, non-obese men, obese women, and non-obese women.

Results: The overall incidence rate of MASLD was 39.3/1,000 person-years. The cumulative incidence was highest in obese men, followed by obese women, non-obese men, and non-obese women. Two or more CMRFs increased the risk of MASLD in all groups. Low HDL cholesterol level was the strongest independent risk factor in both obese and non-obese women and hypertriglyceridemia for both obese and non-obese men. The impact of these CMRFs was stronger in non-obese individuals. (HR [95% CI]: women non-obese 1.9 [1.5-2.4], obese 1.4 [1.1-1.8]; men non-obese 2.3 [1.9-2.9], obese 1.5 [1.2-2.0]).

Conclusions: Multiple CMRFs are important to MASLD development, regardless of sex and obesity. In this Japanese cohort, low HDL cholesterol in women and hypertriglyceridemia in men were the most significant risk factors, especially among the non-obese group. These findings suggest that sex-specific CMRFs may play a role in the development of MASLD.

Keywords: Cardiometabolic risk factors; Hypertriglyceridemia; Low HDL cholesterol levels; Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD); Steatotic liver disease.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declaration. Conflict of interest: T.K. received lecture fees from Janssen Pharmaceutical K.K., Taisho Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Kowa Company, Ltd., Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Eisai Co., Ltd., ASKA Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., AbbVie GK., EA Pharma Co., Ltd. M.K. received a research grant from Fuji Rebio. A.N. received honorariums from EA Pharma Co., Ltd, Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., LTD., Kowa Company, Ltd., Taisho Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., and Viatris; a fee from EA Pharma Co., Ltd.; and a research grant from EA Pharma Co., Ltd, Mochida Pharmaceutical Co., LTD., Kowa Company, Ltd., and Gilead Science. H.Y. received lecture fees from Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Asuka Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Gilead Sciences, Novel Pharmaceutical, Taisho Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., and AbbVie Inc. H.T. received lecture fees from Novonordisk, Kowa Company, Ltd., and Taisho Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., and a fee for writing from an undisclosed company. M.E.R. provides scientific consulting for Akero, 89Bio, Boehringer Ingelheim, Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Histoindex, Madrigal, NGM Biopharmaceuticals, Novo Nordisk, Eli Lilly, Sagimet Biosciences, Sonic Incytes, Cytodyn, and GSK and serves on the scientific executive boards of Akero, Madrigal, and Novo Nordisk. M.R.C. is employed by Madrigal and previously provided scientific consulting for Novo Nordisk, 89Bio, Northsea, Merck, Akero, Cytodyn, Pfizer, Aligos, Sagimet, and Eli Lilly. Y.Su. received a research grant from an undisclosed company and scholarship grants from Takeda and Sysmex. The other authors have no conflicts of interest relevant to this publication.

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