Moderate alcohol-associated hepatitis: A real-world multicenter study
- PMID: 40131003
- PMCID: PMC11936654
- DOI: 10.1097/HC9.0000000000000673
Moderate alcohol-associated hepatitis: A real-world multicenter study
Abstract
Background: Severe alcohol-associated hepatitis (sAH) is a well-characterized disease with high short-term mortality. However, there is limited research on those with a "less severe condition" (moderate AH). This study aims to characterize in-depth patients with moderate AH (mAH), including the performance of mortality scoring systems, key prognostic factors, and survival over time.
Methods: A multicenter retrospective cohort study (2009-2019) included patients with mAH (MELD score ≤20 at admission). Cox regression and receiver operating characteristic curves with AUC were used for analysis.
Results: We included 1845 patients with AH (20 centers, 8 countries) between 2009 and 2019. mAH was defined as a MELD score ≤20 at admission. Twenty-four percent met the criteria for an mAH episode. Patients with mAH tend to be older and have a higher proportion of females, with a median MELD of 17 (15-19), Maddrey discriminant function (mDF) of 33 (22-40), the trajectory of serum bilirubin of 0.83 (0.60-1.21), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) of 5 (2.96-8.60). The primary causes of death in mAH included multiple organ failure (34.1%) and infections (16.6%). The cumulative survival rates at 30, 90, and 180 days were 94.3%, 90.4%, and 88.2%, respectively. In multivariable analysis, age was the only significant predictor of 30-day mortality (HR 1.49, 95% CI: 1.27-1.76, p<0.001). Mortality prediction models showed poor performance, with AUC for MELD (0.671), mDF (0.726), trajectory of serum bilirubin (0.733), and NLR (0.697).
Conclusions: Patients with moderate AH exhibited a mortality of 11.8% at 6 months, primarily driven by multiple organ failure and infections. These patients also exhibit a different clinical profile compared to those with sAH. Tailored models and therapeutic strategies are needed to improve long-term outcomes in mAH.
Copyright © 2025 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. on behalf of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.
Conflict of interest statement
Ramon Bataller: consulting for GSK, Novo Nordisk, and Boehringer Ingelheim. Juan G Abraldes: consulting for 89bio, Agomab, Novo Nordisk, Boehringer Ingelheim, AstraZeneca, Terumo, and Boston Pharmaceuticals. Grant support: Salix, Gilead, Cook. Lubomir Skladaný: consulting for Abbvie, Gilead, Astellas, Worwag, and ProMed. Daniel J. Havaj: Lecturing for Abbvie, Gilead, Astellas, and ProMed. German Soriano: grant support from MENDES, Grifols, and GORE. The remaining authors have no conflicts to report.
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