Complex Etiologies of the Discordance Between Cystatin C- and Creatinine-Based Estimated GFR and Its Adverse Associations: Findings From the CRIC Study
- PMID: 40373998
- PMCID: PMC12818706
- DOI: 10.1053/j.ajkd.2025.03.018
Complex Etiologies of the Discordance Between Cystatin C- and Creatinine-Based Estimated GFR and Its Adverse Associations: Findings From the CRIC Study
Abstract
Rationale & objective: The difference between glomerular filtration rate (GFR) estimated by cystatin C and creatinine (eGFRdiff, defined as eGFRcys-eGFRcr) has been repeatedly associated with adverse outcomes, often ascribed to low muscle mass. However, it is unclear to what extent putative determinants of eGFRdiff, such as low muscle mass, explain associations between eGFRdiff and the outcomes of death and heart failure. Determinants of eGFRdiff have not been investigated to assess their impacts on eGFRcys, eGFRcr, and ultimately eGFRdiff in a dataset with measured GFR.
Study design: Prospective cohort study for outcomes of eGFRdiff and cross-sectional study for determinants of eGFRdiff.
Setting & participants: 1,290 adult participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study with directly measured iothalamate GFR, 24-hour urine creatinine collections, and plasma measurements of larger molecules such as β2-microglobulin.
Exposure: Baseline eGFRdiff (eGFRcys-eGFRcr) for prospective analysis; putative eGFRdiff determinants for cross-sectional analyses.
Outcome: Time to all-cause death, heart failure hospitalization for prospective analyses, and eGFR for cross-sectional analyses.
Analytical approach: Cox proportional hazards regression for prospective analysis and linear regression for cross-sectional analyses.
Results: Among adults with CKD, a more positive eGFRdiff was associated with decreased risk of death (adjusted HR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.74-0.88]) and heart failure hospitalization (adjusted HR 0.83 [95% CI, 0.73-94]). Neither association was substantially changed by adjustment for putative determinants of eGFRdiff. Estimated GFRdiff was weakly correlated with markers of muscle mass, middle molecule clearance, and other putative determinants of eGFRdiff (eg, obesity, inflammation). Only 36% of the variance in eGFRdiff was explained by these factors.
Limitations: Imprecision in measurements such as 24-hour urine collections.
Conclusions: The associations of eGFRdiff with adverse outcomes were unchanged by adjustment for markers of putative determinants such as muscle mass. Examined putative determinants of eGFRdiff accounted for a minority of the variance in eGFRdiff.
Plain-language summary: The difference between estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRdiff) using serum creatinine and cystatin C (eGFRcys-eGFRcr) has been repeatedly associated with adverse outcomes, including death and heart failure. The biological mechanisms underlying eGFRdiff are unclear. In this study of adult patients with CKD, we found that adjustment for these proposed causes of eGFRdiff, including measures of muscle mass and protein intake (daily urine creatinine excretion) and kidney clearance of larger molecules (β2-microglobulin and β-trace protein levels relative to measured GFR), did not change the associations between eGFRdiff and subsequent adverse outcomes. Only 36% of the variance in eGFRdiff was accounted for by the proposed causes. Further research is needed to uncover the pathophysiology behind these associations.
Keywords: Chronic kidney disease; cystatin C; estimated glomerular filtration rate; serum creatinine.
Copyright © 2025 National Kidney Foundation, Inc. All rights reserved.
References
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- Potok OA, Ix JH, Shlipak MG, et al. The Difference Between Cystatin C– and Creatinine-Based Estimated GFR and Associations With Frailty and Adverse Outcomes: A Cohort Analysis of the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT). American Journal of Kidney Diseases. 2020;76(6):765–774. doi: 10.1053/j.ajkd.2020.05.017 - DOI - PMC - PubMed
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