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Meta-Analysis
. 2025 Jun:200:109527.
doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2025.109527. Epub 2025 May 11.

Ambient air pollution and childhood obesity from infancy to late childhood: An individual participant data meta-analysis of 10 European birth cohorts

Affiliations
Meta-Analysis

Ambient air pollution and childhood obesity from infancy to late childhood: An individual participant data meta-analysis of 10 European birth cohorts

Sarah Warkentin et al. Environ Int. 2025 Jun.

Abstract

Ambient air pollution may contribute to childhood obesity through various mechanisms. However, few longitudinal studies examined the relationship between pre- and postnatal exposure to air pollution and obesity outcomes in childhood. We aimed to investigate the association between pre- and postnatal exposure to air pollution and body mass index (BMI) and the risk of overweight/obesity throughout childhood in European cohorts. This study included mother-child pairs from 10 European birth cohorts (n = 37111 (prenatal), 33860 (postnatal)). Exposure to nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and fine particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter < 2.5 µm (PM2.5) was estimated at the home addresses during pre- and postnatal periods (year prior outcome assessment). BMI z-scores (continuous) and overweight/obesity status (categorical: zBMI≥+2 (<5 years) or ≥+1 (≥5 years) standard deviations) were derived at 0-2, 2-5, 5-9, 9-12 years. Associations between air pollution exposure and zBMI were estimated separately for each pollutant and cohort using linear and logistic longitudinal mixed effects models, followed by a random-effects meta-analysis. The overweight/obesity prevalence ranged from 12.3-40.5 % between cohorts at 0-2 years, 16.7-35.3 % at 2-5 years, 12.5-40.7 % at 5-9 years, and 10.7-43.8 % at 9-12 years. Results showed no robust associations between NO2 exposure and zBMI or overweight/obesity risk. Exposure to PM2.5 during pregnancy was associated with 23 % (95%CI 1.05;1.37) higher overweight/obesity risk across childhood, and higher zBMI and overweight/obesity risk at 9-12 years. Heterogeneity between cohorts was considerable (I2:25-89 %), with some cohort-specific associations; e.g., pre- and postnatal exposure to PM2.5 was associated with lower zBMI across age periods in UK cohorts (ALSPAC and BiB), while postnatal exposure to PM2.5 and NO2 was associated with higher zBMI in one Dutch cohort (Generation R). Overall, this large-scale meta-analysis suggests that prenatal PM2.5 exposure may be associated with adverse childhood obesity outcomes, but provides no evidence to support an effect of postnatal air pollution exposure, although cohort-specific associations were observed.

Keywords: Air pollution; Child; Meta-analysis; Pediatric obesity; Urban.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

Figures

None
Graphical abstract
Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Map of the 10 included cohorts from the EU Child Cohort Network.
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Forest plot of associations between pre- and postnatal exposurea to NO2 and childhood zBMI and overweight/obesity using two-stage meta-analysis. ABCD: Amsterdam Born Children and their Development; ALSPAC: Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children; BiB: Born in Bradford; DNBC: Danish National Birth Cohort; EDEN: Etude des Déterminants pré et postnatals précoces du développement et de la santé de l’Enfant; Gen R: Generation R Study; INMA: Infancia y Medio Ambiente; MoBa: Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study; NINFEA: Nascita e INFanzia: gli Effetti dell’Ambiente; RHEA: Rhea Mother & Child Cohort Study; zBMI: Body mass index z-score; OR: Odds ratio; CI: Confidence intervals. Prenatal exposure models adjusted for sex, child age (in months), individual-level SES (maternal education), pre-pregnancy BMI, smoking during pregnancy, and area-level SES. Postnatal exposure models were further adjusted for prenatal air pollution exposure. Further adjustments: INMA, NINFEA and EDEN: for city, in Gen R, ABCD and BiB: for ethnicity. I2: Test for heterogeneity (%). a Values are described as weighted average postnatal air pollution levels in the year before zBMI measurement, in the different age periods.
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Forest plot of associations between pre- and postnatal exposurea to PM2.5 and childhood zBMI and overweight/obesity using two-stage meta-analysis. ABCD: Amsterdam Born Children and their Development; ALSPAC: Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children; BiB: Born in Bradford; DNBC: Danish National Birth Cohort; EDEN: Etude des Déterminants pré et postnatals précoces du développement et de la santé de l’Enfant; Gen R: Generation R Study; INMA: Infancia y Medio Ambiente; MoBa: Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study; NINFEA: Nascita e INFanzia: gli Effetti dell’Ambiente; RHEA: Rhea Mother & Child Cohort Study; zBMI: Body mass index z-score; OR: Odds ratio; CI: Confidence intervals. Prenatal exposure models adjusted for sex, child age (in months), individual-level SES (maternal education), pre-pregnancy BMI, smoking during pregnancy, and area-level SES. Postnatal exposure models were further adjusted for prenatal air pollution exposure. Further adjustments: In INMA, NINFEA and EDEN: for city, in Gen R, ABCD and BiB: for ethnicity. I2: Test for heterogeneity (%). a Values are described as weighted average postnatal air pollution levels in the year before zBMI measurement, in the different age periods.
Fig. 4
Fig. 4
Pre- and postnatal air pollution exposurea and childhood overall zBMI and overweight/obesity using two-stage meta-analysis, stratified by age period. BMI: Body mass index; OR: Odds ratio; CI: Confidence intervals. Prenatal exposure models are adjusted for sex, child age (in months), individual-level SES (maternal education), pre-pregnancy BMI, smoking during pregnancy, and area-level SES. Postnatal exposure models were further adjusted for prenatal air pollution exposure. Further adjustments: In INMA, NINFEA and EDEN: for city, in Gen R, ABCD and BiB: for ethnicity. I2: Test for heterogeneity (%). a Values are described as weighted average postnatal air pollution levels in the year before zBMI measurement, in the different age periods.
Fig. 4
Fig. 4
Pre- and postnatal air pollution exposurea and childhood overall zBMI and overweight/obesity using two-stage meta-analysis, stratified by age period. BMI: Body mass index; OR: Odds ratio; CI: Confidence intervals. Prenatal exposure models are adjusted for sex, child age (in months), individual-level SES (maternal education), pre-pregnancy BMI, smoking during pregnancy, and area-level SES. Postnatal exposure models were further adjusted for prenatal air pollution exposure. Further adjustments: In INMA, NINFEA and EDEN: for city, in Gen R, ABCD and BiB: for ethnicity. I2: Test for heterogeneity (%). a Values are described as weighted average postnatal air pollution levels in the year before zBMI measurement, in the different age periods.

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