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Observational Study
. 2025 Jul;62(2):180-192.
doi: 10.1111/apt.70176. Epub 2025 May 20.

Volatomics for Diagnosis and Risk Stratification of MASLD: A Proof-Of-Concept Study

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Observational Study

Volatomics for Diagnosis and Risk Stratification of MASLD: A Proof-Of-Concept Study

R Sinha et al. Aliment Pharmacol Ther. 2025 Jul.

Abstract

Background and aims: Human breath contains numerous volatile organic compounds (VOCs) produced by physiological and metabolic processes or perturbed in pathological states. Electronic nose (eNose) technology has been extensively validated as a non-invasive diagnostic tool for respiratory disease. Using eNose-derived exhaled breath signals, we investigated whether it could discriminate patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) from healthy volunteers and identify patients at high risk of disease progression.

Methods: In a prospective single-centre study, exhaled breath VOCs were analysed using an eNose, in a well-characterised cohort comprising patients with Child-Turcotte-Pugh class A MASLD cirrhosis (n = 30), non-cirrhotic MASLD (n = 30) and healthy volunteers (n = 30). An unbiased machine learning clustering technique was applied. Longitudinal clinical data were collected over 5 years for the patient cohort. Logistic regression and univariable analysis were performed to identify risk factors for disease progression, liver-related outcomes, and all-cause mortality.

Results: Principal component analysis of breath VOCs discriminated patients with MASLD from healthy volunteers with 100% sensitivity (p < 0.001, cross-validation verification of 96%), independent of age and gender. The eNose breath profile classified patients with MASLD into three distinct subgroups with similar baseline clinical and demographic characteristics but markedly different prognoses. During the 5-year follow-up period, Cluster 2 was identified as a higher-risk subgroup for progression (42%, p = 0.03), liver-related decompensation events (17%, p = 0.06), and all-cause mortality (12.5%).

Conclusion: eNose can discriminate patients with MASLD from healthy volunteers and, using unbiased clustering analysis, identify patients with a significantly worse prognosis. These results warrant prospective validation in independent MASLD populations.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02950610.

Keywords: electronic nose; machine learning unbiased clustering; metabolic dysfunction‐associated steatotic liver disease; volatile organic compounds.

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