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Review
. 2025 Sep;139(5):2365-2387.
doi: 10.1007/s00414-025-03529-8. Epub 2025 May 26.

Population affinity estimation in forensic anthropology: a South African perspective

Affiliations
Review

Population affinity estimation in forensic anthropology: a South African perspective

Thandolwethu Mbonani et al. Int J Legal Med. 2025 Sep.

Abstract

Forensic anthropologists face the complex task of estimating population affinity from skeletal remains, a process that involves inferring culturally constructed "social race" from biological tissues, a challenge further complicated by the nuanced distinction between population affinity and "race". The difficulty in making these estimations arises from the complex interplay between social constructs of race, skeletal morphology, and geographic origin. These factors are further influenced by elements such as assortative mating and institutional racism in regions such as South Africa and the United States. The interaction between cultural factors and biological traits raises the question of whether the challenges in estimating population affinity are inevitable or due to a limited understanding of human variation. To address this knowledge gap, this paper presents a review of population affinity estimation in forensic anthropology, with a focus on the South African context. It provides foundational background and historical insights, explores the medico-legal significance of population affinity, and critically evaluates both traditional and emerging estimation methods. By highlighting regional challenges and recent advancements, this review aims to enhance understanding and contribute to ongoing debates in the field. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.

Keywords: Forensic anthropology; Forensic identification; Morpho-phenotypic traits; Population affinity; South African population.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declarations. Ethics approval and consent to participate: This study was performed in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. Approval was granted by the Faculty of Health Sciences Research Ethics Committee of the University of Pretoria (13 August 2024/Ethics Reference No.: 426/2024). Consent to participate: Not applicable. Competing interests: The authors have no competing interests to declare that are relevant to the content of this review article. Human ethics and consent to participate declarations: Not applicable.

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