Long-Term Survival of Children Discharged From Pediatric Intensive Care: A Linked Data Cohort Study
- PMID: 40476842
- DOI: 10.1097/PCC.0000000000003760
Long-Term Survival of Children Discharged From Pediatric Intensive Care: A Linked Data Cohort Study
Abstract
Objectives: The long-term survival of children discharged from PICUs and factors associated with mortality following discharge have not been systematically studied. The objective was to describe the long-term survival of children discharged alive from Australian PICUs and identify factors associated with death after discharge.
Design: A cohort data linkage study.
Setting: The Australian and New Zealand Paediatric Intensive Care Registry linked with the Australian National Death Index.
Patients: Children discharged from PICUs in Australia between 1997 and 2018.
Interventions: None.
Measurements and main results: Exposures included the time period of admission, demographic, social, and admission factors. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to investigate exposures associated with mortality. The records of 96,743 children were available for analysis. The risk of death reduced over time: compared with children admitted from 1997 to 2002, the hazard ratios for death after discharge for children admitted from 2003-2008, 2009-2013, to 2014-2018 were 0.92 (95% CI, 0.85-0.99), 0.69 (0.64-0.745), and 0.60 (0.55-0.65). The risk of death associated with low-risk underlying conditions, such as asthma, was 70% lower than the reference (standard risk) group, while there was a seven-fold increase in the risk of death with very-high-risk underlying conditions, such as malignancy. Residing in outer regional and very remote areas was associated with higher risk of death.
Conclusions: The survival of children discharged from Australian PICUs has improved over time; the risk of death reduced by 40% over the study period. The underlying disease, age, and residing in locations with reduced access to healthcare were associated with reduced probability of survival after discharge.
Keywords: Kaplan-Meier estimate; intensive care units; mortality; pediatric; proportional hazards models; registries; social determinants of health.
Copyright © 2025 by the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies.
Conflict of interest statement
The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society received funding from the Ministry of Health (New Zealand), and the Australian Health Ministers’ Advisory Council. Dr. Goh received funding from the Australia and New Zealand Intensive Care Society. Dr. Gabbe’s institution received funding from the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia (L2, ID2009998) during the preparation of this article. The remaining authors have disclosed that they do not have any potential conflicts of interest.
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