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. 2025 Jun 13;20(8):1119-1131.
doi: 10.2215/CJN.0000000751.

Clinical and Histologic Predictors of Kidney Outcomes in C3 Glomerulopathy and Idiopathic Membranoproliferative GN

Affiliations

Clinical and Histologic Predictors of Kidney Outcomes in C3 Glomerulopathy and Idiopathic Membranoproliferative GN

Malak Ghaddar et al. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. .

Abstract

Key Points:

  1. Lower eGFR, paraprotein presence, and interstitial fibrosis were associated with a higher risk of kidney outcome.

  2. Native disease (versus recurrence post-transplantation), White ethnicity, and lower C4 levels were associated with a lower risk of kidney outcome.

  3. A 50% reduction in proteinuria from baseline to a value <1 g/d was associated with a lower risk of kidney outcome.

Background: C3 glomerulopathy (C3G) is a rare disease caused by abnormalities in the alternative complement pathway with significant overlap with idiopathic immune complex membranoproliferative GN (IC-MPGN). The risk factors of kidney outcomes in these conditions remain controversial, limited by small studies. We aimed to identify and assess risk factors associated with kidney outcomes.

Methods: Using a cohort of 225 patients with C3G or idiopathic IC-MPGN from three international centers, we evaluated the association between clinical and histologic variables and a composite outcome of a 30% decline in eGFR or ESKD, using Cox proportional hazards models. A prediction model was derived and internally validated through bootstrap resampling.

Results: In a multivariable model, lower eGFR, paraprotein presence, and interstitial fibrosis were associated with a higher outcome risk, whereas native disease (versus recurrence post-transplantation), White ethnicity, and lower C4 levels were associated with lower risk. The prediction model including these variables performed well (R2D: 53%, C-statistic: 0.84 [95% confidence interval, 0.82 to 0.86], integrated calibration index: 0.31) and maintained robustness after internal validation. A 50% reduction in proteinuria from baseline to a value <1 g/d was associated with a lower risk of outcome independent of other risk factors (hazard ratio, 0.35; 95% confidence interval, 0.12 to 0.97).

Conclusions: Our study evaluated the baseline clinical and histologic parameters associated with kidney outcomes using the largest C3G/idiopathic IC-MPGN cohort to date. These factors were included in a prediction model to assess individual patient risk. Our results provide an evidence-based definition of proteinuria remission that can be used for patient care and in clinical trials.

Keywords: glomerulus; primary GN.

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Conflict of interest statement

Disclosure forms, as provided by each author, are available with the online version of the article at http://links.lww.com/CJN/C312.

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