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. 2025 Sep 19;80(10):glaf140.
doi: 10.1093/gerona/glaf140.

Association of multimorbidity trajectories from early adulthood through middle age with middle-age physical function

Affiliations

Association of multimorbidity trajectories from early adulthood through middle age with middle-age physical function

C Barrett Bowling et al. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. .

Abstract

Background: Chronic conditions can develop early in the adult life course and accumulate at different rates. However, the association between multimorbidity trajectory groups from young adulthood and physical function in midlife has not been well studied.

Methods: Data are from 2018 Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study participants who completed a PROMIS Function Short Form and five physical performance tests (gait speed, grip strength, balance, chair stands, 6-minute-walk, composite score range 0-20, higher is better). Multimorbidity trajectory groups were previously identified using latent class growth models and characterized by the age of onset and rapidity of accumulation of conditions: (1) early-50s, slow (E50S), (2) mid-40s, fast (M40F), (3) mid-30s, fast (M30F), (4) late-20s, slow (L20F), (5) mid-20s, slow (M20S), and (6) mid-20s, fast (M20F). The association of multimorbidity trajectory group with physical function scores in middle age were estimated using multiple linear regression.

Results: At the time of physical function measurement, participants had a mean age (SD) of 60.0 (3.6) years, 58.2% were female, and 44.4% were Black. Compared to participants in the E50S class, adjusted mean differences in the PROMIS score were -1.37, -1.44, -3.18, and -2.53 for those in the M40F, M30F, L20F, and M20F, respectively (all P-values <.01). Compared to E50S adjusted mean differences in the composite performance scores were -1.48, -0.44, and -1.51 for L20F, M20S, and M20F, respectively (all P-values <.05).

Conclusions: Earlier onset and more rapid accumulation of chronic conditions from early adulthood may identify those at risk for functional limitations in midlife.

Keywords: chronic disease trajectories; multimorbidity; physical function; physical performance.

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Conflict of interest statement

None declared.

Figures

Figure 1.
Figure 1.
Least square (LS) means (95% CI) for self-reported physical function (A) and physical performance (B) by trajectory class (TC). Self-reported physical function shown as the t-score from the PROMIS SF20a 9 (50 is the mean in the reference population with a standard deviation [SD] of 10). Physical performance shown as the CARDIA Physical Performance (CAPP) score, which summarizes physical performance across five performance tests: usual gait speed, grip strength, chair stands, single-leg balance, and 6-minute walk test (possible range 0–20, higher scores indicate greater performance). LS means adjusted for age, race, sex, education, marital status, income, smoking, employment status, physical activity, BMI, waist circumference, self-report of medical problems that limit exercise, and knee pain. BMI, body mass index.
Figure 2.
Figure 2.
Least square (LS) means (95% CI) for self-reported physical function and physical performance by trajectory class (TC) stratified by sex (panels A and B) and, separately, race (panels C and D). Self-reported physical function shown as the t-score from the PROMIS SF20a. Physical performance shown as the CARDIA Physical Performance (CAPP) score, which summarizes physical performance across five performance tests: usual gait speed, grip strength, chair stands, single-leg balance, and 6-minute walk test (range 0–20, higher scores indicate greater performance). LS means adjusted for age, race, sex, education, marital status, income, smoking, employment status, physical activity, BMI, waist circumference, self-report of medical problems that limit exercise, and knee pain. BMI, body mass index.

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