Comparing FIB-4, VCTE, pSWE, 2D-SWE, and MRE Thresholds and Diagnostic Accuracies for Detecting Hepatic Fibrosis in Patients with MASLD: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Abstract

Objectives: To compare thresholds and accuracies of FIB-4, vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE), point shear wave elastography (pSWE), 2D shear wave elastography (2D-SWE), and MR elastography (MRE) for detecting hepatic fibrosis in patients with MASLD. Materials and Methods: Systematic searching of MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and the gray literature from inception to March 2024 was performed. Studies evaluating accuracies of FIB-4, VCTE, 2D-SWE, pSWE, and/or MRE for detecting significant (≥F2) and/or advanced (≥F3) hepatic fibrosis in MASLD patients compared to histology were identified. Full-text review and data extraction were performed independently by two reviewers. Multivariate meta-analysis and subgroup analyses were performed using index test and fibrosis grading. Risk of bias was assessed using QUADAS-2. Results: 207 studies with over 80,000 patient investigations were included. FIB-4 1.3 threshold sensitivity was 71% (95% CI 66-75%) for detecting advanced hepatic fibrosis, which improved to 88% (85-91%) using a <0.75 threshold. FIB-4 specificity using a 2.67 threshold was 96% (94-97%). Sensitivities of 88-91% were achieved using thresholds of 3.2 kPa for pSWE, 4.92 kPa for 2D-SWE, 7.18 kPa for VCTE, and 2.32 kPa for MRE. No significant differences were identified for sensitivities in subgroup analysis with thresholds between 7 and 9 kPa. Most imaging-based studies were high risk of bias for the index test. Conclusions: A FIB-4 threshold of <0.75 and modality-dependent thresholds (VCTE < 7 kPa; pSWE <3 kPa; 2D-SWE <5 kPa; and MRE <2.5 kPa) would achieve sensitivities of around 90% when defining low-risk MASLD in population screening. A modified two-tier algorithm aligning with existing Society of Radiologists in Ultrasound guidelines would improve risk stratification accuracies compared to existing guidelines by European and American liver societies.

Keywords: MASLD; MRE; SWE; accuracy; fibroScan; magnetic resonance elastography; metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease; shear wave elastography; systematic review; transient elastography.

Figure 1

PRISMA flow diagram showing screening and selection of studies included in the systematic review.

Figure 2

Proposed two-tier blood-based followed by image-based risk stratification algorithm for population screening of patients with suspected or diagnosed MASLD. Metabolic risk factors = central obesity, high triglycerides, low HDL cholesterol, hypertension, prediabetes, or insulin resistance.