Long-Term Locoregional Outcomes in a Contemporary Cohort of Young Women With Breast Cancer

Abstract

Importance: Women diagnosed with breast cancer at a young age are felt to have a higher risk for locoregional recurrence (LRR) regardless of type of local therapy.

Objective: To assess the long-term incidence of isolated LRR by molecular subtype in a modern multicenter cohort of young women.

Design, setting, and participants: This cohort study, a multicenter prospective study named the Young Women's Breast Cancer Study, enrolled 1302 women diagnosed with breast cancer at 40 years or younger from 2006 to 2016. Treatment information and incident LRR (ipsilateral breast/chest or lymph node recurrence) were self-reported on study surveys and confirmed with medical record review; molecular subtype was determined by record review. Analysis was reported from February 2023 to May 2025.

Main outcomes and measures: Cumulative incidence of isolated LRR was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method; hazard ratios were estimated by Cox proportional hazards regression.

Results: The cohort included 1135 women with stage I through III breast cancer who had a median follow-up of 10.1 years (range, 0.4-16.3 years). The age at diagnosis was younger than 30 years for 145 patients (12.8%), 31 to 35 years for 318 patients (28.0%), and 36 to 40 years for 672 patients (59.2%). There were 59 isolated local recurrences (5.2%) and 4 isolated regional recurrences (0.4%). Among patients with local therapy and subtype data available (n = 1128), 366 (32%) had luminal A-like tumors; 240 (21%), luminal B-like tumors; 231 (20%) luminal ERBB2 positive (+)-like (formerly HER2 positive); 90 (8%) ERBB2+-like; and 201 (18%) triple negative. A total of 346 women (30%) had breast-conserving therapy (BCT) (98% of whom had radiation), 296 (26%) unilateral mastectomy, and 487 (43%) bilateral mastectomy. Of women who had mastectomy, 425 (54%) had radiation. The cumulative incidence of LRR at 10.1 years by subtype was as follows: luminal A, 4.4% (range, 1.0%-6.9%); luminal B, 4.7% (range 1.8%-7.7%); luminal ERBB2+, 6.1% (range, 3.1%-8.3%); ERBB2+, 2.2% (range, 0%-6.3%); and triple negative, 6.5% (range, 4.2%-10.1%). The cumulative incidence of LRR by locoregional treatment type at 10.1 years was 6.7% after BCT (range, 4.3%-10.1%), 6.5% after mastectomy without radiation (range, 0%-7.7%), and 2.4% after mastectomy with radiation (range, 1%-4.2%). Although mastectomy with radiation was associated with the lowest risk of LRR on multivariable analysis, when examined within molecular subtype, there were no differences seen.

Conclusions and relevance: In this contemporary cohort of women diagnosed with breast cancer at age 40 years or younger, risk of isolated LRR was relatively low (5.6%) at a median follow-up of 10.1 years, and significant differences were not seen by tumor subtype. Concerns for long-term risk of LRR should not influence surgical decision-making with young women, irrespective of molecular subtype.