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Review
. 2025 Jul 22:83:104544.
doi: 10.1016/j.breast.2025.104544. Online ahead of print.

Impact of germline BRCA1/2 status on outcomes for patients with HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer treated with CDK4/6 inhibitors: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Affiliations
Review

Impact of germline BRCA1/2 status on outcomes for patients with HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer treated with CDK4/6 inhibitors: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Michele Bottosso et al. Breast. .

Abstract

Background: Almost 60 % of breast cancers (BCs) diagnosed in germline BRCA1/2 mutation (gBRCAm) carriers are HR+/HER2-. Sparse data suggest limited CDK4/6 inhibitors benefit among gBRCAm carriers. However, prespecified subgroup analyses from pivotal trials are lacking, and current data quality is poor given the small patient populations.

Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies evaluating CDK4/6 inhibitors outcomes in patients with HR+/HER2-metastatic BC according to gBRCA status. Progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared between gBRCAm patients and those with wild type (wt) or unknown (wt/unk) gBRCA status.

Results: Of 1339 potentially eligible records, 14 studies were included, covering a population of 618 gBRCAm patients. Studies were mostly retrospective, with moderate-to-high risk of bias according to ROBINS-E algorithm. Three studies included only gBRCA tested patients; all others also allowed gBRCA untested patients. Meta-analysis of studies with available data for gBRCAm vs. gBRCAwt patients resulted in an HR for PFS of 1.68 (95 %CI 1.37-2.05) and an HR for OS of 1.73 (95 %CI 1.12-2.67). Inclusion of patients with unknown gBRCA status led to similar results (gBRCAm vs. gBRCAwt/unk), with an HR for PFS of 2.02 (95 %CI 1.59-2.57) and for OS of 1.46 (95 %CI 1.08-2.00).

Conclusions: Emerging data suggest that gBRCAm patients with advanced HR+/HER2- BC may experience shorter PFS and OS with CDK4/6 inhibitor compared to gBRCAwt. Given the low level of evidence and the high risk of bias in available studies, further research is needed to understand molecular mechanisms and identify the optimal treatment sequence.

Keywords: BRCA1/2; Breast cancer; CDK4/6 inhibitors; Meta-analysis; Systematic review.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declaration of competing interest MB reports travel support from Eli Lilly. CZ reports travel support from Eli Lilly, Sanofi, Gilead. FM reports personal fees from Roche, Novartis, Pfizer, Seagen, Menarini, MSD, Gilead, Astrazeneca MVD reports personal fees for consultancy/advisory role from: Eli Lilly, Pfizer, Novartis, Seagen, Gilead, MSD, Exact Sciences, AstraZeneca, Roche, Daiichi Sankyo, Roche. The other authors declare no conflicts of interest. GG reports fees for advisory role from Gilead, Seagen, Menarini, personal fees as an invited speaker from Eli Lilly, Novartis, MSD, travel support Gilead, Eli Lilly, Pfizer, Novartis, Daiichi Sankyo, AMGEN, AstraZeneca. FG reports travel support from Eli Lilly, Gilead, Novartis; honoraria for lectures from AstraZeneca, Eli Lilly, Gilead. VG reports personal fees for advisory board membership for AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Eli Lilly, Gilead, MSD, Novartis, Pfizer, Olema Oncology, Pierre Fabre, Roche, Menarini Stemline, personal fees as an invited speaker for AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Eli Lilly, Exact Sciences, Gilead, GSK, Novartis, Roche, Zentiva, Menarini Stemline, personal fees for expert testimony for Eli Lilly.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
PRISMA flowchart.
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Hazard ratios for progression free survival (A) and overall survival (B) according to gBRCA status.
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Hazard ratios for progression free survival (A) and overall survival (B) for patients with gBRCAm vs gBRCAwt + unk.
Fig. 4
Fig. 4
Subgroup analysis of hazard ratios for progression free survival for patients with gBRCAm vs gBRCAwt + unk according to type of publication (full article vs. abstract/poster).
Fig. 5
Fig. 5
Meta-regression analysis assessing the association between publication type and progression-free survival (logarithmic scale for hazard ratios).

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