Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth

Pieter A Zuidema¹, Peter Groenendijk², Mizanur Rahman³, Valerie Trouet^{4

5}, Abrham Abiyu⁶, Rodolfo Acuña-Soto^{7

8}, Eduardo Adenesky-Filho⁹, Raquel Alfaro-Sánchez^{10

11}, Claudio Roberto Anholetto Jr¹², José Roberto Vieira Aragão^{2

13}, Gabriel Assis-Pereira^{14

15}, Claudia C Astudillo-Sánchez¹⁶, Ana Carolina Barbosa¹⁷, Giovanna Battipaglia¹⁸, Hans Beeckman¹⁹, Paulo Cesar Botosso²⁰, Nils Bourland¹⁹, Achim Bräuning²¹, Roel Brienen²², Matthew Brookhouse²³, Supaporn Buajan²⁴, Brendan M Buckley²⁵, J Julio Camarero²⁶, Artemio Carrillo-Parra²⁷, Gregório Ceccantini²⁸, Librado R Centeno-Erguera²⁹, Julián Cerano-Paredes²⁹, Rosalinda Cervantes-Martínez³⁰, Wirong Chanthorn³¹, Ya-Jun Chen³², Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra^{33

34}, Eladio Heriberto Cornejo-Oviedo³⁰, Otoniel Cortés-Cortés³⁰, Clayane Matos Costa³⁵, Camille Couralet¹⁹, Doris Bianca Crispín-De-La-Cruz^{2

36}, Rosanne D'arrigo²⁵, Diego A David³⁷, Maaike De Ridder¹⁹, Jorge Ignacio Del Valle³⁷, Mário Dobner Jr³⁸, Jean-Louis Doucet³⁹, Oliver Dünisch⁴⁰, Brian J Enquist^{41

42}, Karin Esemann-Quadros^{43

44}, Gerardo Esquivel-Arriaga²⁹, Ze-Xin Fan³², Adeline Fayolle^{45

46}, Tatiele Anete Bergamo Fenilli⁹, M Eugenia Ferrero^{36

47}, Esther Fichtler⁴⁸, Patrick M Finnegan⁴⁹, Claudia Fontana¹⁴, Kainana S Francisco⁵⁰, Pei-Li Fu³², Franklin Galvão⁵¹, Aster Gebrekirstos⁵², Jorge A Giraldo⁵³, Emanuel Gloor²², Milena Godoy-Veiga²⁸, Daniela Granato-Souza⁵⁴, Anthony Guerra⁵⁵, Kristof Haneca⁵⁶, Grant Logan Harley⁵⁷, Ingo Heinrich^{58

59}, Gerhard Helle⁶⁰, Bruna Hornink^{2

14}, Wannes Hubau⁶¹, Janet G Inga³⁶, Mahmuda Islam^{3

62}, Yu-Mei Jiang⁶³, Mark Kaib⁶⁴, Zakia Hassan Khamisi⁴, Marcin Koprowski^{65

66}, Eva Layme^{67

68}, A Joshua Leffler⁶⁹, Gauthier Ligot³⁹, Claudio Sergio Lisi³⁵, Neil J Loader⁷⁰, Francisco De Almeida Lobo⁷¹, Giuliano Maselli Locosselli^{28

72}, Tomaz Longhi-Santos⁷³, Lidio Lopez⁴⁷, María I López-Hernández³⁰, José Luís Penetra Cerveira Lousada⁷⁴, Rubén D Manzanedo^{75

76}, Amanda K Marcon⁵¹, Justin T Maxwell⁷⁷, Omar N Mendoza-Villa⁷⁸, Ítallo Romany Nunes Menezes^{35

79}, Mulugeta Mokria^{21

52}, Valdinez Ribeiro Montóia⁸⁰, Eddy Moors^{81

82}, Miyer Moreno⁸³, Miguel Angel Muñiz-Castro⁸⁴, Cristina Nabais⁸⁵, Anuttara Nathalang⁸⁶, Justine Ngoma⁸⁷, Francisco De Carvalho Nogueira Jr⁸⁸, Juliano Morales Oliveira^{89

90}, Gabriela Morais Olmedo⁹¹, Daigard Ricardo Ortega-Rodriguez¹⁴, Carmen Eugenia Rodríguez Ortíz⁹², Mariana Alves Pagotto³⁵, Shankar Panthi³², Kathelyn Paredes-Villanueva^{93

94}, Gonzalo Pérez-de-Lis⁹⁵, Laura Patricia Ponce Calderón⁹⁶, Leif Armando Portal-Cahuana^{14

97}, Darwin Alexander Pucha-Cofrep⁹⁸, Nathsuda Pumijumnong²⁴, Paulo Quadri⁹⁹, Jorge Andrés Ramírez¹⁰⁰, Edilson Jimmy Requena-Rojas³⁶, Judith Reyes-Flores³⁰, Adauto de Souza Ribeiro³⁵, Iain Robertson⁷⁰, Fidel Alejandro Roig^{47

101}, José Guilherme Roquette¹⁰², Ernesto Alonso Rubio-Camacho¹⁰³, Raúl Sánchez-Salguero¹⁰⁴, Ute Sass-Klaassen^{1

105}, Jochen Schöngart¹⁰⁶, Marcelo Callegari Scipioni³⁸, Paul R Sheppard⁴, Lucas C R Silva¹⁰⁷, Franziska Slotta¹⁰⁸, Leroy Soria-Díaz¹⁰⁹, Luciana K V S Sousa¹¹⁰, James H Speer¹¹¹, Matthew D Therrell¹¹², Ginette Ticse-Otarola^{36

113}, Mario Tomazello-Filho¹⁴, Max C A Torbenson¹¹⁴, Pantana Tor-Ngern^{115

116}, Ramzi Touchan⁴, Jan Van den Bulcke⁶¹, Lorenzo Vázquez-Selem¹¹⁷, Adín H Velázquez-Pérez¹¹⁸, Alejandro Venegas-González¹¹⁹, Ricardo Villalba⁴⁷, Jose Villanueva-Diaz²⁹, Mart Vlam¹⁰⁵, George Vourlitis¹²⁰, Christian Wehenkel²⁷, Tommy Wils^{121

122}, Erika S Zavaleta¹²³, Eshetu Asfaw Zewdu¹²⁴, Yong-Jiang Zhang¹²⁵, Zhe-Kun Zhou³², Flurin Babst^{4

126}

Affiliations

¹ Forest Ecology & Forest Management Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands.
² Department of Plant Biology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas, SP, Brazil.
³ Department of Forestry and Environmental Science, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet, Bangladesh.
⁴ Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.
⁵ Belgian Climate Centre, Uccle, Belgium.
⁶ World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
⁷ Department of Microbiology and Parasitology, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico.
⁸ Colegio de Geografía, Facultad de Filosofia y Letras, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico.
⁹ Department of Forest Engineering, Universidade Regional de Blumenau, Santa Catarina, Brazil.
¹⁰ Northern Forestry Centre, Canadian Forest Service, Natural Resources Canada, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
¹¹ Higher Technical School of Agricultural and Forestry Engineering and Biotechnology, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Albacete, Spain.
¹² Forest Management Program, Mamiraua Institute for Sustainable Development, Tefé, Brazil.
¹³ Department of Plant Biology, Federal University of Ceará (UFC), Fortaleza, CE, Brazil.
¹⁴ Department of Forest Sciences, Luiz de Queiroz College of Agriculture, University of Sao Paulo, Piracicaba, Brazil.
¹⁵ Instituto de Pesquisas Ambientais do Estado de São Paulo, Assis, São Paulo, Brazil.
¹⁶ Facultad de Ingeniería y Ciencias, Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas, Ciudad Victoria, Tamaulipas, Mexico.
¹⁷ Tree-Ring Laboratory, Forest Science Department, Federal University of Lavras, Lavras, MG, Brazil.
¹⁸ University of Campania L. Vanvitelli, Department of Environmental, Biological and Pharmaceutical Sciences and Technologies, Caserta, Italy.
¹⁹ Wood Biology Service, Royal Museum for Central Africa, Tervuren, Belgium.
²⁰ Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (Embrapa), Embrapa Forestry, Colombo, PR, Brazil.
²¹ Institute of Geography, Friedrich-Alexander-University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Erlangen, Germany.
²² School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
²³ Fenner School of Environment and Society, Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.
²⁴ Faculty of Environment and Resource studies, Mahidol University, Salaya, Phutthamonthon, Nakhon Pathom, Thailand.
²⁵ Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA.
²⁶ Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE-CSIC), Zaragoza, Spain.
²⁷ Instituto de Silvicultura e Industria de la Madera, Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango, Durango, Mexico.
²⁸ Department of Botany, Institute of Biosciences, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
²⁹ Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias (INIFAP), Centro Nacional de Investigación Disciplinaría en Relación Agua-Suelo-Planta-Atmósfera (CENID-RASPA), Durango, Mexico.
³⁰ Departamento Forestal, Universidad Autónoma Agraria Antonio Narro, Saltillo, Coahuila, Mexico.
³¹ Department of Environmental Technology and Management, Faculty of Environment, Kasetsart University, Bangkok, Thailand.
³² CAS Key Laboratory of Tropical Forest Ecology, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Mengla, Yunnan, China.
³³ School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
³⁴ Birmingham Institute of Forest Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
³⁵ Laboratory of Plant Anatomy and Dendrochronology, Department of Biology, Universidade Federal de Sergipe - UFS, Aracaju, Brazil.
³⁶ Laboratorio de Dendrocronología, Universidad Continental, Huancayo, Perú.
³⁷ Department of Forest Sciences, Universidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín, Colombia.
³⁸ Departamento de Agricultura, Biodiversidade e Florestas, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina - UFSC, Curitibanos, Santa Catarina, Brazil.
³⁹ TERRA Teaching and Research Centre, Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech, University of Liège, Gembloux, Belgium.
⁴⁰ Master School for Carpentry and Cabinetmaking, Ebern, Germany.
⁴¹ Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.
⁴² Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM, USA.
⁴³ Department of Biological Sciences, University of Joinville Region - UNIVILLE, Joinville, Brazil.
⁴⁴ Postgraduate Program in Forestry, Regional University of Blumenau - FURB, Blumenau, SC, Brazil.
⁴⁵ UR Forêts et Sociétés du CIRAD, Montpellier cedex 5, France.
⁴⁶ Gestion des Ressources Forestières de Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech, ULiège, Gembloux, Belgium.
⁴⁷ Laboratorio de Dendrocronología e Historia Ambiental, IANIGLA, CCT-CONICET-Mendoza, Mendoza, Argentina.
⁴⁸ Department of Crop Sciences, Tropical Plant Production and Agricultural Systems Modelling, Göttingen University, Göttingen, Germany.
⁴⁹ School of Biological Sciences, University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia.
⁵⁰ USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station, Institute of Pacific Islands Forestry, Hilo, HI, USA.
⁵¹ Department of Forest Sciences, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, PR, Brazil.
⁵² World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), Nairobi, Kenya.
⁵³ Facultad de Ingeniería, Tecnológico de Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia.
⁵⁴ Natural Resources and Environmental Sciences Department, Forestry, Ecology and Wildlife Program, Alabama A&M University, Huntsville, AL, USA.
⁵⁵ Programa de Pós-Graduação em Agronomia/Fisiologia Vegetal, Departamento de Biologia, Instituto de Ciências Naturais, Universidade Federal de Lavras, Lavras, MG, Brazil.
⁵⁶ Flanders Heritage Agency, Brussels, Belgium.
⁵⁷ Department of Earth and Spatial Sciences, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID, USA.
⁵⁸ German Archaeological Institute DAI, Department of Natural Sciences, Berlin, Germany.
⁵⁹ Geography Department, Humboldt-University Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
⁶⁰ Section Geomorphology, GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Telegrafenberg, Potsdam, Germany.
⁶¹ Faculty of Bioscience Engineering, Department of Environment, Laboratory of Wood Technology (UGent-Woodlab), Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
⁶² School of Biological Sciences, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, USA.
⁶³ Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, Czech Republic.
⁶⁴ US Fish and Wildlife Service, Albuquerque, NM, USA.
⁶⁵ Department of Ecology and Biogeography, Faculty of Biological and Veterinary Sciences, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Toruń, Poland.
⁶⁶ Centre for Climate Change Research, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Toruń, Poland.
⁶⁷ Instituto Nacional de Innovación Agraria, Programa Nacional de Investigación Forestal, Huancayo, Perú.
⁶⁸ CITEforestal Pucallpa, Pucallpa, Perú.
⁶⁹ Department of Natural Resource Management, South Dakota State University, Brookings, SD, USA.
⁷⁰ Department of Geography, Swansea University, Singleton Park, Swansea, UK.
⁷¹ Department of Soils and Rural Engineering, Faculty of Agronomy and Animal Science, Federal University of Mato Grosso - UFMT, Cuiabá, Mato Grosso, Brazil.
⁷² Center of Nuclear Energy in Agriculture, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
⁷³ Department of Animal Science, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, PR, Brazil.
⁷⁴ CITAB - Department of Forestry Sciences and Landscape (CIFAP), University of Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro, Vila Real, Portugal.
⁷⁵ Plant Ecology, Institute of Integrative Biology, D-USYS, ETH-Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
⁷⁶ Institute for Plant Sciences (IPS), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
⁷⁷ Department of Geography, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA.
⁷⁸ Facultad de Ciencias Naturales, Universidad Autónoma de Querétaro, Querétaro, Mexico.
⁷⁹ Graduate Program in Ecology and Conservation, Federal University of Sergipe - UFS, São Cristóvão, Sergipe, Brazil.
⁸⁰ Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (Embrapa), Embrapa Amazônia Ocidental, Manaus, AM, Brazil.
⁸¹ IHE Delft, Delft, Netherlands.
⁸² VU University Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
⁸³ Posgrado en Bosques y Conservación Ambiental, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Medellín, Colombia.
⁸⁴ Centro Universitario de Ciencias Biológicas y Agropecuarias, Universidad de Guadalajara, Zapopan, Jalisco, Mexico.
⁸⁵ Centre for Functional Ecology, Department of Life Sciences, Faculty of Sciences and Technology, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal.
⁸⁶ National Biobank of Thailand, National Science and Technology Development Agency, Pathum Thani, Thailand.
⁸⁷ Department of Biomaterials Science and Technology, School of Natural Resources, The Copperbelt University, Kitwe, Zambia.
⁸⁸ Laboratory of Ecology and Dendrology, Federal Institute of Sergipe IFS, São Cristovão, Sergipe, Brazil.
⁸⁹ Laboratory of Plant Ecology, Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos (UNISINOS), São Leopoldo, RS, Brazil.
⁹⁰ Instituto Biodiversa, Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil.
⁹¹ Nuclear Energy in Agriculture, University of São Paulo, Piracicaba, Brazil.
⁹² Department of Botany and Ecology, Institute of Biosciences, Federal University of Mato Grosso (UFMT), Cuiabá, Mato Grosso, Brazil.
⁹³ Tree-Ring Laboratory, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA.
⁹⁴ Carrera de Ingeniería Forestal, Universidad Autónoma Gabriel René Moreno, Facultad de Ciencias Agrícolas, El Vallecito, Santa Cruz, Bolivia.
⁹⁵ BIOAPLIC, Departamento de Botánica, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, EPSE, Campus Terra, Lugo, Spain.
⁹⁶ El Colegio de la Frontera Sur, Departamento de Sociedad y Cultura, San Cristóbal de Las Casas, Chiapas, Mexico.
⁹⁷ Escuela Profesional de Ingeniería Forestal de la Universidad Nacional Toribio Rodríguez de Mendoza de Amazonas, Chachapoyas, Perú.
⁹⁸ Laboratorio de Dendrocronología, Carrera de Ingeniería Forestal, Universidad Nacional de Loja, Loja, Ecuador.
⁹⁹ Department of Environmental Studies, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.
¹⁰⁰ Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias, Universidad del Cauca, Popayán, Colombia.
¹⁰¹ Hémera Centro de Observación de la Tierra, Escuela de Ingeniería Forestal, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Mayor, Santiago, Chile.
¹⁰² Centro de Apoio Técnico à Execução Ambiental, Ministério Público do Estado de Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso, Brazil.
¹⁰³ Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias (INIFAP), Centro de Investigación Regional Pacífico Centro - Campo Experimental, Centro Altos de Jalisco, Jalisco, Mexico.
¹⁰⁴ DendrOlavide, Departamento de Sistemas Físicos, Químicos y Naturales, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Sevilla, Spain.
¹⁰⁵ Forest and Nature Management, Van Hall Larenstein Univerisity of Applied Sciences, Velp, Netherlands.
¹⁰⁶ National Institute for Amazon Research, Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil.
¹⁰⁷ Environmental Studies, Department of Biology, Institute of Ecology and Evolution, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR, USA.
¹⁰⁸ Department of Earth Sciences, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
¹⁰⁹ Instituto de Ecología Aplicada, Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas, Ciudad Victoria, Tamaulipas, Mexico.
¹¹⁰ Institute of Biodiversity and Forests, Federal University of Western Pará - UFOPA, Santarém, Brazil.
¹¹¹ Department of Earth and Environmental Systems, Indiana State University, Terre Haute, IN, USA.
¹¹² Department of Geography, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL, USA.
¹¹³ Programa de Investigación de Ecología y Biodiversidad, Asociación ANDINUS, Sicaya, Huancayo, Junín, Peru.
¹¹⁴ Department of Geography, Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, Germany.
¹¹⁵ Department of Environmental Science, Faculty of Science, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.
¹¹⁶ Water Science and Technology for Sustainable Environment Research Unit, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.
¹¹⁷ Instituto de Geografía, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Ciudad Universitaria, Mexico City, Mexico.
¹¹⁸ Facultad de Ciencias Forestales, Colegio de Postgraduados, Montecillos, Texcoco, Mexico.
¹¹⁹ Instituto de Ciencias Agroalimentarias, Animales y Ambientales (ICA3), Universidad de O'Higgins, San Fernando, Chile.
¹²⁰ Biological Sciences Department, California State University, San Marcos, San Marcos, CA, USA.
¹²¹ Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands.
¹²² School of Teacher Training for Secondary Education Tilburg, Fontys University of Applied Sciences, Tilburg, Netherlands.
¹²³ Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.
¹²⁴ School of Earth Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
¹²⁵ School of Biology and Ecology, University of Maine, Orono, ME, USA.
¹²⁶ School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.

PMID: 40743338
DOI: 10.1126/science.adq6607

Free article

Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth

Pieter A Zuidema et al. Science. 2025.

Free article

. 2025 Jul 31;389(6759):532-538.

doi: 10.1126/science.adq6607. Epub 2025 Jul 31.

Authors

Affiliations

¹ Forest Ecology & Forest Management Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands.
² Department of Plant Biology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas, SP, Brazil.
³ Department of Forestry and Environmental Science, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet, Bangladesh.
⁴ Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.
⁵ Belgian Climate Centre, Uccle, Belgium.
⁶ World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
⁷ Department of Microbiology and Parasitology, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico.
⁸ Colegio de Geografía, Facultad de Filosofia y Letras, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico.
⁹ Department of Forest Engineering, Universidade Regional de Blumenau, Santa Catarina, Brazil.
¹⁰ Northern Forestry Centre, Canadian Forest Service, Natural Resources Canada, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
¹¹ Higher Technical School of Agricultural and Forestry Engineering and Biotechnology, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Albacete, Spain.
¹² Forest Management Program, Mamiraua Institute for Sustainable Development, Tefé, Brazil.
¹³ Department of Plant Biology, Federal University of Ceará (UFC), Fortaleza, CE, Brazil.
¹⁴ Department of Forest Sciences, Luiz de Queiroz College of Agriculture, University of Sao Paulo, Piracicaba, Brazil.
¹⁵ Instituto de Pesquisas Ambientais do Estado de São Paulo, Assis, São Paulo, Brazil.
¹⁶ Facultad de Ingeniería y Ciencias, Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas, Ciudad Victoria, Tamaulipas, Mexico.
¹⁷ Tree-Ring Laboratory, Forest Science Department, Federal University of Lavras, Lavras, MG, Brazil.
¹⁸ University of Campania L. Vanvitelli, Department of Environmental, Biological and Pharmaceutical Sciences and Technologies, Caserta, Italy.
¹⁹ Wood Biology Service, Royal Museum for Central Africa, Tervuren, Belgium.
²⁰ Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (Embrapa), Embrapa Forestry, Colombo, PR, Brazil.
²¹ Institute of Geography, Friedrich-Alexander-University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Erlangen, Germany.
²² School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
²³ Fenner School of Environment and Society, Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.
²⁴ Faculty of Environment and Resource studies, Mahidol University, Salaya, Phutthamonthon, Nakhon Pathom, Thailand.
²⁵ Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA.
²⁶ Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE-CSIC), Zaragoza, Spain.
²⁷ Instituto de Silvicultura e Industria de la Madera, Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango, Durango, Mexico.
²⁸ Department of Botany, Institute of Biosciences, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
²⁹ Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias (INIFAP), Centro Nacional de Investigación Disciplinaría en Relación Agua-Suelo-Planta-Atmósfera (CENID-RASPA), Durango, Mexico.
³⁰ Departamento Forestal, Universidad Autónoma Agraria Antonio Narro, Saltillo, Coahuila, Mexico.
³¹ Department of Environmental Technology and Management, Faculty of Environment, Kasetsart University, Bangkok, Thailand.
³² CAS Key Laboratory of Tropical Forest Ecology, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Mengla, Yunnan, China.
³³ School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
³⁴ Birmingham Institute of Forest Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
³⁵ Laboratory of Plant Anatomy and Dendrochronology, Department of Biology, Universidade Federal de Sergipe - UFS, Aracaju, Brazil.
³⁶ Laboratorio de Dendrocronología, Universidad Continental, Huancayo, Perú.
³⁷ Department of Forest Sciences, Universidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Medellín, Colombia.
³⁸ Departamento de Agricultura, Biodiversidade e Florestas, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina - UFSC, Curitibanos, Santa Catarina, Brazil.
³⁹ TERRA Teaching and Research Centre, Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech, University of Liège, Gembloux, Belgium.
⁴⁰ Master School for Carpentry and Cabinetmaking, Ebern, Germany.
⁴¹ Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.
⁴² Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM, USA.
⁴³ Department of Biological Sciences, University of Joinville Region - UNIVILLE, Joinville, Brazil.
⁴⁴ Postgraduate Program in Forestry, Regional University of Blumenau - FURB, Blumenau, SC, Brazil.
⁴⁵ UR Forêts et Sociétés du CIRAD, Montpellier cedex 5, France.
⁴⁶ Gestion des Ressources Forestières de Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech, ULiège, Gembloux, Belgium.
⁴⁷ Laboratorio de Dendrocronología e Historia Ambiental, IANIGLA, CCT-CONICET-Mendoza, Mendoza, Argentina.
⁴⁸ Department of Crop Sciences, Tropical Plant Production and Agricultural Systems Modelling, Göttingen University, Göttingen, Germany.
⁴⁹ School of Biological Sciences, University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia.
⁵⁰ USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station, Institute of Pacific Islands Forestry, Hilo, HI, USA.
⁵¹ Department of Forest Sciences, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, PR, Brazil.
⁵² World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), Nairobi, Kenya.
⁵³ Facultad de Ingeniería, Tecnológico de Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia.
⁵⁴ Natural Resources and Environmental Sciences Department, Forestry, Ecology and Wildlife Program, Alabama A&M University, Huntsville, AL, USA.
⁵⁵ Programa de Pós-Graduação em Agronomia/Fisiologia Vegetal, Departamento de Biologia, Instituto de Ciências Naturais, Universidade Federal de Lavras, Lavras, MG, Brazil.
⁵⁶ Flanders Heritage Agency, Brussels, Belgium.
⁵⁷ Department of Earth and Spatial Sciences, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID, USA.
⁵⁸ German Archaeological Institute DAI, Department of Natural Sciences, Berlin, Germany.
⁵⁹ Geography Department, Humboldt-University Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
⁶⁰ Section Geomorphology, GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Telegrafenberg, Potsdam, Germany.
⁶¹ Faculty of Bioscience Engineering, Department of Environment, Laboratory of Wood Technology (UGent-Woodlab), Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
⁶² School of Biological Sciences, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, USA.
⁶³ Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, Czech Republic.
⁶⁴ US Fish and Wildlife Service, Albuquerque, NM, USA.
⁶⁵ Department of Ecology and Biogeography, Faculty of Biological and Veterinary Sciences, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Toruń, Poland.
⁶⁶ Centre for Climate Change Research, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Toruń, Poland.
⁶⁷ Instituto Nacional de Innovación Agraria, Programa Nacional de Investigación Forestal, Huancayo, Perú.
⁶⁸ CITEforestal Pucallpa, Pucallpa, Perú.
⁶⁹ Department of Natural Resource Management, South Dakota State University, Brookings, SD, USA.
⁷⁰ Department of Geography, Swansea University, Singleton Park, Swansea, UK.
⁷¹ Department of Soils and Rural Engineering, Faculty of Agronomy and Animal Science, Federal University of Mato Grosso - UFMT, Cuiabá, Mato Grosso, Brazil.
⁷² Center of Nuclear Energy in Agriculture, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
⁷³ Department of Animal Science, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, PR, Brazil.
⁷⁴ CITAB - Department of Forestry Sciences and Landscape (CIFAP), University of Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro, Vila Real, Portugal.
⁷⁵ Plant Ecology, Institute of Integrative Biology, D-USYS, ETH-Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
⁷⁶ Institute for Plant Sciences (IPS), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
⁷⁷ Department of Geography, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA.
⁷⁸ Facultad de Ciencias Naturales, Universidad Autónoma de Querétaro, Querétaro, Mexico.
⁷⁹ Graduate Program in Ecology and Conservation, Federal University of Sergipe - UFS, São Cristóvão, Sergipe, Brazil.
⁸⁰ Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (Embrapa), Embrapa Amazônia Ocidental, Manaus, AM, Brazil.
⁸¹ IHE Delft, Delft, Netherlands.
⁸² VU University Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
⁸³ Posgrado en Bosques y Conservación Ambiental, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Medellín, Colombia.
⁸⁴ Centro Universitario de Ciencias Biológicas y Agropecuarias, Universidad de Guadalajara, Zapopan, Jalisco, Mexico.
⁸⁵ Centre for Functional Ecology, Department of Life Sciences, Faculty of Sciences and Technology, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal.
⁸⁶ National Biobank of Thailand, National Science and Technology Development Agency, Pathum Thani, Thailand.
⁸⁷ Department of Biomaterials Science and Technology, School of Natural Resources, The Copperbelt University, Kitwe, Zambia.
⁸⁸ Laboratory of Ecology and Dendrology, Federal Institute of Sergipe IFS, São Cristovão, Sergipe, Brazil.
⁸⁹ Laboratory of Plant Ecology, Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos (UNISINOS), São Leopoldo, RS, Brazil.
⁹⁰ Instituto Biodiversa, Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil.
⁹¹ Nuclear Energy in Agriculture, University of São Paulo, Piracicaba, Brazil.
⁹² Department of Botany and Ecology, Institute of Biosciences, Federal University of Mato Grosso (UFMT), Cuiabá, Mato Grosso, Brazil.
⁹³ Tree-Ring Laboratory, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA.
⁹⁴ Carrera de Ingeniería Forestal, Universidad Autónoma Gabriel René Moreno, Facultad de Ciencias Agrícolas, El Vallecito, Santa Cruz, Bolivia.
⁹⁵ BIOAPLIC, Departamento de Botánica, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, EPSE, Campus Terra, Lugo, Spain.
⁹⁶ El Colegio de la Frontera Sur, Departamento de Sociedad y Cultura, San Cristóbal de Las Casas, Chiapas, Mexico.
⁹⁷ Escuela Profesional de Ingeniería Forestal de la Universidad Nacional Toribio Rodríguez de Mendoza de Amazonas, Chachapoyas, Perú.
⁹⁸ Laboratorio de Dendrocronología, Carrera de Ingeniería Forestal, Universidad Nacional de Loja, Loja, Ecuador.
⁹⁹ Department of Environmental Studies, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.
¹⁰⁰ Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias, Universidad del Cauca, Popayán, Colombia.
¹⁰¹ Hémera Centro de Observación de la Tierra, Escuela de Ingeniería Forestal, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Mayor, Santiago, Chile.
¹⁰² Centro de Apoio Técnico à Execução Ambiental, Ministério Público do Estado de Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso, Brazil.
¹⁰³ Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias (INIFAP), Centro de Investigación Regional Pacífico Centro - Campo Experimental, Centro Altos de Jalisco, Jalisco, Mexico.
¹⁰⁴ DendrOlavide, Departamento de Sistemas Físicos, Químicos y Naturales, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Sevilla, Spain.
¹⁰⁵ Forest and Nature Management, Van Hall Larenstein Univerisity of Applied Sciences, Velp, Netherlands.
¹⁰⁶ National Institute for Amazon Research, Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil.
¹⁰⁷ Environmental Studies, Department of Biology, Institute of Ecology and Evolution, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR, USA.
¹⁰⁸ Department of Earth Sciences, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
¹⁰⁹ Instituto de Ecología Aplicada, Universidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas, Ciudad Victoria, Tamaulipas, Mexico.
¹¹⁰ Institute of Biodiversity and Forests, Federal University of Western Pará - UFOPA, Santarém, Brazil.
¹¹¹ Department of Earth and Environmental Systems, Indiana State University, Terre Haute, IN, USA.
¹¹² Department of Geography, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL, USA.
¹¹³ Programa de Investigación de Ecología y Biodiversidad, Asociación ANDINUS, Sicaya, Huancayo, Junín, Peru.
¹¹⁴ Department of Geography, Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, Germany.
¹¹⁵ Department of Environmental Science, Faculty of Science, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.
¹¹⁶ Water Science and Technology for Sustainable Environment Research Unit, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.
¹¹⁷ Instituto de Geografía, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Ciudad Universitaria, Mexico City, Mexico.
¹¹⁸ Facultad de Ciencias Forestales, Colegio de Postgraduados, Montecillos, Texcoco, Mexico.
¹¹⁹ Instituto de Ciencias Agroalimentarias, Animales y Ambientales (ICA3), Universidad de O'Higgins, San Fernando, Chile.
¹²⁰ Biological Sciences Department, California State University, San Marcos, San Marcos, CA, USA.
¹²¹ Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands.
¹²² School of Teacher Training for Secondary Education Tilburg, Fontys University of Applied Sciences, Tilburg, Netherlands.
¹²³ Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.
¹²⁴ School of Earth Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
¹²⁵ School of Biology and Ecology, University of Maine, Orono, ME, USA.
¹²⁶ School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.

PMID: 40743338
DOI: 10.1126/science.adq6607

Abstract

Increasing drought pressure under anthropogenic climate change may jeopardize the potential of tropical forests to capture carbon in woody biomass and act as a long-term carbon dioxide sink. To evaluate this risk, we assessed drought impacts in 483 tree-ring chronologies from across the tropics and found an overall modest stem growth decline (2.5% with a 95% confidence interval of 2.2 to 2.7%) during the 10% driest years since 1930. Stem growth declines exceeded 10% in 25% of cases and were larger at hotter and drier sites and for gymnosperms compared with angiosperms. Growth declines generally did not outlast drought years and were partially mitigated by growth stimulation in wet years. Thus, pantropical forest carbon sequestration through stem growth has hitherto shown drought resilience that may, however, diminish under future climate change.

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Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth

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Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth

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Abstract

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