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. 2025 Oct;28(10):e70044.
doi: 10.1002/jia2.70044.

High rates of viral suppression in pregnancy drop postpartum in South African women on tenofovir-lamivudine-dolutegravir: a prospective cohort study

Affiliations

High rates of viral suppression in pregnancy drop postpartum in South African women on tenofovir-lamivudine-dolutegravir: a prospective cohort study

Elaine J Abrams et al. J Int AIDS Soc. 2025 Oct.

Abstract

Introduction: Achieving and maintaining viral suppression (VS) during pregnancy and breastfeeding is central to preventing vertical transmission and optimizing maternal health. High rates of VS have been demonstrated among adult and paediatric populations receiving tenofovir-lamivudine-dolutegravir (TLD), but VS and viraemia among pregnant and postpartum women with HIV (WHIV) in high-burden settings have not been well-documented.

Methods: Between September 2021 and December 2023, pregnant WHIV, ≤18 weeks gestation, were enrolled in antenatal care (ANC) and followed postpartum in Cape Town, South Africa. WHIV received HIV care in routine health services and continued, switched to or initiated TLD at ANC entry. VS was defined as viral load (VL) <50 copies/ml; viraemic episodes (VEs) were categorized as major (>1000 copies/ml) or minor (50-1000 copies/ml). Mixed-effects Poisson regression models were fit to assess factors associated with major VE risk.

Results: Among 763 WHIV with ≥1 VL, median age was 30 years (interquartile range [IQR] 25-34) and median gestation was 14 weeks at enrolment (IQR 11-17); 89% were on antiretroviral therapy, including 74% on TLD. Overall 99% achieved ≥1 VL<50 copies/ml: 73% sustained VS through 48 weeks postpartum, with 16% having ≥1 minor VE and 15% ≥1 major VE. At enrolment, 77% of VL measures were <50 copies/ml, increasing to >90% during pregnancy through 12 weeks postpartum and declining to 81% by 24 weeks postpartum. In multivariable analysis, each additional year of age conferred a 6% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.89, 0.98, p = 0.006) lower risk of subsequent major VE after achieving VS. WHIV with viraemia (50-1000 copies/ml) at enrolment were 3.6 (95% CI 1.94, 6.70, p<0.001) times more likely to have a subsequent major VE, whereas CD4+>500 cells/mm lowered major VE risk by 53% (95% CI 0.32, 0.89, p = 0.016).

Conclusions: High rates of VS were maintained during pregnancy and early postpartum, but substantial viraemia emerged by 24 weeks postpartum, jeopardizing maternal and child health outcomes. These unique data provide further impetus to explore innovative approaches to supporting adherence among WHIV during the postpartum period.

Keywords: HIV; antiretroviral therapy; dolutegravir; postpartum; pregnancy; viral load.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
(a) Individual viral load (VL) trajectories for 763 women with HIV (in grey) from enrolment in pregnancy through 80 weeks of observation, ORCHID study, Cape Town, South Africa; Green represents women with HIV (WHIV) with viral suppression at enrolment or who achieved viral suppression during follow‐up and maintained viral suppression throughout follow‐up. Light blue represents WHIV with one or more minor viraemic episodes (VEs). Purple represents those WHIV with one or more major VE, and red includes WHIV who never achieved viral suppression. (b) Smoothed VL trends by enrolment ART status (Initiators, Switchers and Continuers).
Figure 2
Figure 2
(a) Distribution of viral load (VL) results during pregnancy at enrolment, trimester 2 (24−28 weeks), trimester 3 (34−36 weeks), and 6, 12, 24 and 48 weeks postpartum among 763 women with HIV (WHIV). (b) Viral load distribution by antiretroviral therapy (ART) status at enrolment (currently receiving tenofovir+lamivudine+dolutegravir/TLD [Continuers], switching from tenofovir+lamivudine+dolutegravir/TLE to TLD [Switchers], newly initiating ART with TLD [Initiators]) among 763 WHIV, ORCHID study, Cape Town, South Africa.
Figure 2
Figure 2
(a) Distribution of viral load (VL) results during pregnancy at enrolment, trimester 2 (24−28 weeks), trimester 3 (34−36 weeks), and 6, 12, 24 and 48 weeks postpartum among 763 women with HIV (WHIV). (b) Viral load distribution by antiretroviral therapy (ART) status at enrolment (currently receiving tenofovir+lamivudine+dolutegravir/TLD [Continuers], switching from tenofovir+lamivudine+dolutegravir/TLE to TLD [Switchers], newly initiating ART with TLD [Initiators]) among 763 WHIV, ORCHID study, Cape Town, South Africa.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Plot of transitions between viral load (VL) categories across study visits during pregnancy through 48 weeks postpartum among women with HIV (WHIV), ORCHID study, Cape Town, South Africa. Blue represents VL <50 copies/ml, red represents VL 50−1000 copies/ml and green represents VL >1000 copies/ml.

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