Determinants of survival after Kasai's operation for biliary atresia using actuarial analysis

Abstract

Survival after Kasai's operation for "noncorrectable" biliary atresia is influenced by (1) age, (2) large bile ducts, and (3) concentration of the bile bilirubin. Critical values are: age less than 10.5 wk, any evidence of a large bile duct, and a bile bilirubin concentration greater than 8.8 mg/100 ml. Using these 3 factors, a predictive model is able to identify a favorable group with an 89% expected 4 yr survival.